Tag Archives: handicapping

Taking a Break in 2018

I’m sorry to report I won’t post NASCAR Cup driver rankings or DraftKings driver values this season. Doing all that posting is a big time suck, and I don’t make hardly any money doing it. It also reduces the amount of time I can spend on other projects, and one of my contract jobs has gotten much busier this winter.

Most importantly, I built up a decent bankroll on DraftKings last year (in part by taking down the NASCAR Beast), so I’m gonna take it seriously this year to see if I can actually win some consistent, significant $. I figure posting driver rankings and DraftKings driver values might actually harm that pursuit, so I will stop giving my competitors my info.

Or at least until I go broke! Who knows, if I go bust on DraftKings, I may resume posting rankings/values at some point this season. I’ll leave the blog up, and I may post non-rankings content, too.

Good luck this season!

DraftKings Driver Values: Homestead, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings lineups for Homestead today, take a look at AJ Allmendinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Homestead race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains on top in my final Homestead driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Denny Hamlin
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Kyle Larson
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading