Tag Archives: handicapping

DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix II, 2017

aric almirola photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings’ lineups today, take a look at Aric Almirola. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Phoenix II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Phoenix II, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch remains on top in my final Phoenix II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Phoenix on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Chase Elliott
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Ryan Blaney
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading

Early Rankings: Phoenix II, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch tops my early Phoenix II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Phoenix II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Phoenix;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Richmond, MartinsvilleIndyPocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Phoenix; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading