Tag Archives: Dover

Final Rankings: Dover II, 2017

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson took over the top spot in my final Dover II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Larson
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

Early Rankings: Dover II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Dover II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas, Dover and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Dover I, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Happy Harvick appears in every one of my optimized top 30 DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Dover I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for the race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Dover I. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for the race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Dover I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck!