Tag Archives: Sonoma

DraftKings Driver Values: Sonoma, 2017

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth is a good DraftKings options in the $7K tier because he didn’t qualify (and therefore should score mega Place Differential points). (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Sonoma race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading →

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Sonoma in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. AJ Allmendinger
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Jamie McMurray
  6. Kurt Busch
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Clint Bowyer
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading →

Early Rankings: Sonoma, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Sonoma driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Sonoma driver rankings, which improve upon the below early driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Watkins Glen;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Sonoma; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past four races at Watkins Glen.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kurt Busch
  3. AJ Allmendinger
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Jamie McMurray
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading →