At $6,800, Austin Dillon looks like a great DraftKings lineup filler today. (photo courtesy nascar)
Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Phoenix. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.
Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:
| Drivers | DraftKings Price | Predicted Points | Price/Point |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | $10,800 | 96.86 | $111.50 |
| Joey Logano | $9,900 | 72.85 | $135.90 |
| Kurt Busch | $9,600 | 62.99 | $152.40 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $9,200 | 56.46 | $162.94 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $9,300 | 54.49 | $170.68 |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,700 | 56.82 | $170.72 |
| Carl Edwards | $9,400 | 52.66 | $178.50 |
| Kyle Busch | $10,000 | 55.72 | $179.47 |
| Kasey Kahne | $8,400 | 46.52 | $180.56 |
| Austin Dillon | $6,800 | 34.78 | $195.53 |
| Jamie McMurray | $7,800 | 35.65 | $218.77 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $10,300 | 46.04 | $223.71 |
| Ryan Newman | $7,500 | 32.95 | $227.64 |
| Chase Elliott | $7,700 | 33.68 | $228.62 |
| Kyle Larson | $8,300 | 35.35 | $234.79 |
| Danica Patrick | $6,000 | 24.88 | $241.14 |
| David Ragan | $5,900 | 24.24 | $243.37 |
| Paul Menard | $6,500 | 26.57 | $244.65 |
| Denny Hamlin | $9,500 | 38.12 | $249.20 |
| Matt Kenseth | $9,800 | 38.98 | $251.42 |
| Ty Dillon | $5,400 | 21.14 | $255.41 |
| Casey Mears | $6,200 | 22.36 | $277.23 |
| Clint Bowyer | $7,400 | 26.12 | $283.31 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,300 | 21.47 | $293.41 |
| Aric Almirola | $6,700 | 22.29 | $300.53 |
| Ryan Blaney | $6,500 | 18.26 | $355.98 |
| Brian Scott | $5,500 | 12.73 | $432.21 |
| Greg Biffle | $6,500 | 14.78 | $439.69 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,400 | 11.81 | $457.18 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $6,600 | 14.03 | $470.57 |
| Regan Smith | $5,500 | 11.28 | $487.76 |
| Michael Annett | $5,600 | 10.18 | $550.23 |
| Chris Buescher | $5,600 | 8.24 | $679.35 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,700 | 8.23 | $692.86 |
| Trevor Bayne | $5,800 | 7.85 | $738.75 |
| Josh Wise | $5,500 | 5.14 | $1,069.02 |
| Michael McDowell | $5,900 | 3.16 | $1,866.34 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,600 | 1.24 | $4,504.59 |