DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix II, 2015

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman looks like a good DraftKings bet today in the $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Phoenix. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:

Drivers DraftKings Price Predicted Points Price/Point
Kevin Harvick $11,600 86.86 $133.55
Kurt Busch $9,300 65.85 $141.24
Joey Logano $10,600 72.99 $145.22
Carl Edwards $9,400 54.66 $171.97
Jimmie Johnson $9,600 55.72 $172.30
Kyle Busch $10,200 56.49 $180.56
Ryan Newman $7,300 38.68 $188.72
Brad Keselowski $10,800 55.82 $193.49
Kyle Larson $7,600 38.98 $194.98
Martin Truex Jr $9,000 46.04 $195.47
AJ Allmendinger $6,200 29.26 $211.90
Tony Stewart $6,500 30.47 $213.31
Denny Hamlin $9,700 43.46 $223.18
Jeff Gordon $8,800 39.35 $223.63
Dale Earnhardt Jr $8,700 38.12 $228.22
Clint Bowyer $7,100 31.03 $228.84
Jamie McMurray $8,400 36.65 $229.17
Austin Dillon $7,000 28.95 $241.82
Aric Almirola $6,300 25.29 $249.07
Kasey Kahne $7,900 31.52 $250.62
Paul Menard $6,600 25.57 $258.13
David Ragan $6,400 22.14 $289.03
Erik Jones $8,000 26.78 $298.76
Greg Biffle $6,700 21.78 $307.58
Danica Patrick $6,000 16.24 $369.39
Ricky Stenhouse Jr $6,100 16.36 $372.76
Landon Cassill $5,500 14.73 $373.51
Ryan Ellis $5,300 14.18 $373.83
Cole Whitt $5,600 14.24 $393.17
David Gilliland $5,700 14.28 $399.27
Casey Mears $6,100 15.12 $403.45
Alex Bowman $5,500 13.24 $415.31
Sam Hornish Jr $6,200 14.85 $417.48
Justin Allgaier $5,900 13.88 $425.03
Michael Annett $5,400 10.23 $528.02
Trevor Bayne $6,000 10.81 $554.97
Brett Moffitt $5,400 8.14 $662.99
Joey Gase $5,400 3.07 $1,761.52
Ryan Preece $5,300 1.03 $5,131.87
Timmy Hill $5,300 1.02 $5,214.58
Matt DiBenedetto $5,300 0.16 $32,864.22
J.J. Yeley $5,500 -0.90 n/a
Jeb Burton $5,400 -0.95 n/a

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