DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix II, 2015

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman looks like a good DraftKings bet today in the $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Phoenix. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:

[table caption=”” width=”450″ colwidth=”50|20|20|20″ colalign=”left|center|center|center”]
Drivers,DraftKings Price,Predicted Points,Price/Point
Kevin Harvick,”$11,600″,86.86,$133.55
Kurt Busch,”$9,300″,65.85,$141.24
Joey Logano,”$10,600″,72.99,$145.22
Carl Edwards,”$9,400″,54.66,$171.97
Jimmie Johnson,”$9,600″,55.72,$172.30
Kyle Busch,”$10,200″,56.49,$180.56
Ryan Newman,”$7,300″,38.68,$188.72
Brad Keselowski,”$10,800″,55.82,$193.49
Kyle Larson,”$7,600″,38.98,$194.98
Martin Truex Jr,”$9,000″,46.04,$195.47
AJ Allmendinger,”$6,200″,29.26,$211.90
Tony Stewart,”$6,500″,30.47,$213.31
Denny Hamlin,”$9,700″,43.46,$223.18
Jeff Gordon,”$8,800″,39.35,$223.63
Dale Earnhardt Jr,”$8,700″,38.12,$228.22
Clint Bowyer,”$7,100″,31.03,$228.84
Jamie McMurray,”$8,400″,36.65,$229.17
Austin Dillon,”$7,000″,28.95,$241.82
Aric Almirola,”$6,300″,25.29,$249.07
Kasey Kahne,”$7,900″,31.52,$250.62
Paul Menard,”$6,600″,25.57,$258.13
David Ragan,”$6,400″,22.14,$289.03
Erik Jones,”$8,000″,26.78,$298.76
Greg Biffle,”$6,700″,21.78,$307.58
Danica Patrick,”$6,000″,16.24,$369.39
Ricky Stenhouse Jr,”$6,100″,16.36,$372.76
Landon Cassill,”$5,500″,14.73,$373.51
Ryan Ellis,”$5,300″,14.18,$373.83
Cole Whitt,”$5,600″,14.24,$393.17
David Gilliland,”$5,700″,14.28,$399.27
Casey Mears,”$6,100″,15.12,$403.45
Alex Bowman,”$5,500″,13.24,$415.31
Sam Hornish Jr,”$6,200″,14.85,$417.48
Justin Allgaier,”$5,900″,13.88,$425.03
Michael Annett,”$5,400″,10.23,$528.02
Trevor Bayne,”$6,000″,10.81,$554.97
Brett Moffitt,”$5,400″,8.14,$662.99
Joey Gase,”$5,400″,3.07,”$1,761.52″
Ryan Preece,”$5,300″,1.03,”$5,131.87″
Timmy Hill,”$5,300″,1.02,”$5,214.58″
Matt DiBenedetto,”$5,300″,0.16,”$32,864.22″
J.J. Yeley,”$5,500″,-0.90,n/a
Jeb Burton,”$5,400″,-0.95,n/a