Tag Archives: Daytona

DraftKings Driver Values: Daytona I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

My numbers say Martin Truex Jr. offers top DraftKings value at Daytona today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Daytona 500. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the qualifying results/starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Daytona I, 2017

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. took over the top spot in my final Daytona 500 driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. So, to compile final rankings for today’s Daytona 500, I updated my early rankings with data from Thursday’s Can-Am duel races. And unfortunately, I had to massage that data a bit because the Duel 1 loop data wasn’t available. That reduces the Duel data’s predictive value, so I dialed back its weight in my spreadsheet accordingly.

The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Chase Elliott
  7. Clint Bowyer
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Martin Truex, Jr.
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Early Rankings: Daytona I, 2017

brad keselowski photo

Kez remains on top in my early Daytona I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve completed my final Daytona I driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for the Daytona 500. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Daytona yesterday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Denny Hamlin
  3. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Martin Truex Jr.
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading