DraftKings Driver Values: Texas II, 2017

gray gaulding photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings’ lineups for Texas tomorrow, take a look at Gray Gaulding. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorow’s Texas II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Texas II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Texas II tomorrow in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Texas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Ryan Blaney
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Early Rankings: Texas II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Texas II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Texas II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Texas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Texas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Chase Elliott
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading