Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Dover II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

• The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
• the loop data for the past four races;
• the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
• the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., Bristol, Darlington, Las Vegas, Dover and Homestead);
• the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
• the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Kyle Busch
3. Kyle Larson
4. Matt Kenseth
5. Kevin Harvick
6. Denny Hamlin
7. Chase Elliott
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Brad Keselowski
10. Joey Logano
11. Kurt Busch
12. Jamie McMurray
13. Ryan Blaney
14. Erik Jones
15. Ryan Newman
16. Kasey Kahne
17. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
18. Austin Dillon
19. Clint Bowyer
20. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
21. Daniel Suarez
22. Paul Menard
23. AJ Allmendinger
24. Aric Almirola
25. Trevor Bayne
26. Ty Dillon
27. Chris Buescher
28. Danica Patrick
29. Michael McDowell
30. David Ragan
31. Landon Cassill
32. Matt DiBenedetto
33. Ross Chastain
34. Cole Whitt
35. Corey LaJoie
36. Reed Sorenson
37. Jeffrey Earnhardt
38. Carl Long
39. Derrike Cope
40. Cody Ware