Matt Kenseth is a good DraftKings options in the $7K tier because he didn’t qualify (and therefore should score mega Place Differential points). (photo courtesy nascar)
Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Sonoma race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.
The table:
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Drivers,DraftKings Price,Predicted Points,Price/Point
Martin Truex Jr,”$10,300″,59.94,$171.85
Matt Kenseth,”$7,500″,42.80,$175.25
AJ Allmendinger,”$9,500″,53.41,$177.88
Kurt Busch,”$9,800″,54.11,$181.12
Dale Earnhardt Jr,”$8,100″,43.89,$184.54
Brad Keselowski,”$8,600″,45.94,$187.18
Joey Logano,”$9,000″,45.17,$199.27
Jamie McMurray,”$8,500″,41.87,$202.99
Kyle Busch,”$10,200″,49.40,$206.47
Kyle Larson,”$9,300″,43.60,$213.31
Jimmie Johnson,”$9,600″,44.35,$216.48
Ryan Newman,”$7,900″,36.04,$219.22
Clint Bowyer,”$9,400″,42.22,$222.67
Kevin Harvick,”$9,900″,43.46,$227.79
Kasey Kahne,”$8,000″,34.65,$230.88
Chase Elliott,”$8,300″,32.98,$251.64
Denny Hamlin,”$8,900″,32.30,$275.55
Paul Menard,”$7,400″,26.04,$284.19
Erik Jones,”$7,000″,24.44,$286.44
Michael McDowell,”$6,100″,18.71,$325.96
David Ragan,”$5,000″,14.30,$349.65
Austin Dillon,”$7,100″,19.63,$361.72
Ricky Stenhouse Jr,”$6,700″,18.48,$362.53
Cole Whitt,”$4,900″,13.29,$368.81
Ty Dillon,”$6,400″,17.26,$370.89
Trevor Bayne,”$6,600″,17.40,$379.25
Danica Patrick,”$5,800″,14.91,$389.11
Alon Day,”$4,700″,10.09,$466.00
Tommy Regan,”$4,500″,9.06,$496.54
Ryan Blaney,”$7,300″,13.81,$528.65
Billy Johnson,”$7,700″,14.31,$538.06
Boris Said,”$5,100″,8.08,$631.19
Daniel Suarez,”$6,900″,9.52,$724.88
Landon Cassill,”$5,300″,7.09,$747.98
Matt DiBenedetto,”$5,400″,7.10,$760.85
Kevin O’Connell,”$4,800″,4.05,”$1,184.87″
Josh Bilicki,”$4,600″,3.06,”$1,504.81″
Chris Buescher,”$6,200″,-0.61,n/a
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