Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Dover I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

• The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
• the loop data for the past four races;
• the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
• the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., Bristol, Darlington, Las Vegas and Homestead);
• the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
• the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

1. Martin Truex Jr.
2. Kevin Harvick
3. Kyle Busch
4. Kyle Larson
5. Matt Kenseth
6. Denny Hamlin
7. Joey Logano
8. Jimmie Johnson
9. Chase Elliott
10. Brad Keselowski
11. Jamie McMurray
12. Kurt Busch
13. Ryan Blaney
14. Erik Jones
15. Kasey Kahne
16. Ryan Newman
17. Austin Dillon
18. Clint Bowyer
19. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
20. Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
21. Daniel Suarez
22. Paul Menard
23. AJ Allmendinger
24. Trevor Bayne
25. #43 Car
26. Ty Dillon
27. Chris Buescher
28. Danica Patrick
29. David Ragan
30. Michael McDowell
31. Landon Cassill
32. Matt DiBenedetto
33. Cole Whitt
34. Carl Long
35. Ryan Sieg
36. Gray Gaulding
37. Ross Chastain
38. Jeffrey Earnhardt
39. Cody Ware