Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Texas I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.
The table:
[table caption=”” width=”450″ colwidth=”50|20|20|20″ colalign=”left|center|center|center”]
Drivers,DraftKings Price,Predicted Points,Price/Point
Chase Elliott,”$9,500″,89.04,$106.70
Brad Keselowski,”$10,500″,86.24,$121.75
Kyle Larson,”$10,300″,83.84,$122.86
Erik Jones,”$7,600″,58.98,$128.85
Kyle Busch,”$9,900″,72.51,$136.53
Martin Truex Jr,”$10,200″,72.53,$140.64
Jimmie Johnson,”$9,700″,65.82,$147.37
Dale Earnhardt Jr,”$8,500″,57.19,$148.64
Joey Logano,”$9,800″,64.47,$152.00
Kasey Kahne,”$7,300″,41.42,$176.25
Denny Hamlin,”$9,000″,45.94,$195.91
Austin Dillon,”$7,500″,38.15,$196.57
Kevin Harvick,”$10,000″,48.51,$206.14
Jamie McMurray,”$8,300″,39.61,$209.53
Matt Kenseth,”$9,300″,43.76,$212.50
Kurt Busch,”$8,000″,35.12,$227.77
Chris Buescher,”$6,000″,24.91,$240.86
Ryan Blaney,”$8,100″,33.06,$245.01
AJ Allmendinger,”$6,700″,26.75,$250.47
Ryan Newman,”$7,800″,26.01,$299.88
Trevor Bayne,”$6,900″,20.46,$337.31
Aric Almirola,”$6,400″,17.58,$364.15
Daniel Suarez,”$7,200″,17.46,$412.36
Paul Menard,”$6,800″,15.22,$446.68
Ricky Stenhouse Jr,”$7,000″,15.17,$461.49
JJ Yeley,”$5,000″,7.30,$685.36
Ty Dillon,”$6,600″,9.33,$707.36
Danica Patrick,”$6,300″,7.94,$793.10
Timmy Hill,”$4,800″,5.00,$960.00
Derrike Cope,”$4,600″,4.00,”$1,150.00″
Michael McDowell,”$5,500″,4.20,”$1,310.04″
Matt DiBenedetto,”$5,700″,4.26,”$1,337.93″
Cole Whitt,”$5,800″,4.26,”$1,361.40″
David Ragan,”$6,200″,3.78,”$1,641.82″
Clint Bowyer,”$8,800″,4.91,”$1,792.68″
Gray Gaulding,”$4,900″,1.19,”$4,117.03″
Reed Sorenson,”$5,300″,0.80,”$6,625.00″
Landon Cassill,”$5,600″,0.50,”$11,200.00″
Jeffrey Earnhardt,”$5,100″,0.30,”$17,000.00″
Corey LaJoie,”$4,500″,0.10,”$45,000.00″
[/table]
For the drivers with 0.xx projected, not sure if that’s even possible. The least amount of points they can accumulate would be 4, as a 40th place finish nets them that.
Good catch, it’s probably NOT possible. I hand tweaked those values because they were negative scores, and a negative price/point is nonsensical. That was an experiment, so I’m not committed to it. Will think on it.