
For help in DraftKing’s $7K range tonight at Kansas look at Kyle Larson and Austin Dillon. (photo courtesy nascar)
Here are my top 15 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s race at Kansas. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Kansas I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 15 best lineups for today’s race.
The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.
The lineups:
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#,Driver 1,Driver 2,Driver 3,Driver 4,Driver 5,Driver 6,Total Predicted Pts
1,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Ryan Newman,David Ragan,312.86
2,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Austin Dillon,Brian Scott,312.35
3,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Ryan Newman,Landon Cassill,311.79
4,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Austin Dillon,Ryan Newman,Brian Scott,310.01
5,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Ricky Stenhouse Jr.,Aric Almirola,309.8
6,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Kevin Harvick,Kyle Larson,Ryan Newman,Brian Scott,309.33
7,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Ryan Newman,Brian Scott,308.9
8,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Austin Dillon,Michael Annett,308.77
9,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Jamie McMurray,Brian Scott,308.66
10,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Austin Dillon,Ricky Stenhouse Jr.,Casey Mears,307.94
11,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Ryan Newman,Ricky Stenhouse Jr.,Aric Almirola,307.47
12,Martin Truex Jr.,Joey Logano,Kevin Harvick,Kyle Larson,Ryan Newman,Brian Scott,306.89
13,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kyle Larson,Ricky Stenhouse Jr.,Casey Mears,306.83
14,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Kevin Harvick,Brian Scott,Reed Sorenson,306.53
15,Martin Truex Jr.,Carl Edwards,Joey Logano,Austin Dillon,Ryan Newman,Michael Annett,306.43
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OF THE ABOVE LINEUPS; WHICH WOULD YOU CONSIDER THE “SAFEST” FOR HEAD TO HEAD DK PLAY?
I’ve been on your site several times in the past few weeks. Good work. I’m anxious to see your Dover results.
Chris
Karl: Sorry I missed your question Saturday. I will say I’m not actually sure I could point to safe/non-safe lineups. I guess we’d have to study catastrophe rates (e.g., crashes, penalties, mechanical failures, etc.) and pray we’d have statistical significance?
Chris: Thanks! I hope to have my early Dover rankings up by late Tuesday morning ET. Diving into the spreadsheet work now.