Kyle Larson offers top DraftKings value in the $7K tier today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)
Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Homestead. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.
Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:
| Drivers | DraftKings Price | Predicted Points | Price/Point |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Harvick | $11,400 | 86.97 | $131.07 |
| Carl Edwards | $9,200 | 62.96 | $146.12 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $9,600 | 59.26 | $162.00 |
| Joey Logano | $10,300 | 62.41 | $165.05 |
| Kyle Larson | $7,800 | 41.94 | $185.96 |
| Kyle Busch | $10,600 | 55.02 | $192.66 |
| Jeff Gordon | $9,700 | 49.40 | $196.36 |
| Kasey Kahne | $8,000 | 39.58 | $202.12 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $10,400 | 51.45 | $202.14 |
| David Ragan | $6,300 | 30.98 | $203.37 |
| Clint Bowyer | $6,600 | 31.96 | $206.49 |
| Matt Kenseth | $10,200 | 48.24 | $211.43 |
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $8,700 | 40.68 | $213.84 |
| Jamie McMurray | $7,600 | 34.52 | $220.15 |
| Kurt Busch | $9,400 | 42.15 | $223.03 |
| Aric Almirola | $6,700 | 30.01 | $223.29 |
| Tony Stewart | $6,400 | 26.96 | $237.41 |
| Greg Biffle | $6,400 | 26.93 | $237.62 |
| Paul Menard | $6,500 | 27.20 | $238.99 |
| Brad Keselowski | $10,100 | 41.81 | $241.59 |
| Denny Hamlin | $9,100 | 37.40 | $243.31 |
| Ryan Newman | $6,900 | 27.69 | $249.15 |
| Casey Mears | $6,100 | 22.06 | $276.47 |
| Justin Allgaier | $5,900 | 18.75 | $314.60 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,200 | 19.26 | $321.92 |
| Danica Patrick | $6,000 | 15.24 | $393.80 |
| David Gilliland | $5,700 | 13.15 | $433.39 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $5,900 | 13.17 | $448.07 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,600 | 12.21 | $458.71 |
| Sam Hornish Jr | $5,800 | 10.62 | $546.11 |
| Trevor Bayne | $6,000 | 10.69 | $561.04 |
| Alex Bowman | $5,300 | 9.21 | $575.58 |
| Ty Dillon | $7,000 | 11.73 | $596.84 |
| Austin Dillon | $7,100 | 11.53 | $616.00 |
| Ryan Blaney | $6,800 | 9.73 | $698.62 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,800 | 8.12 | $713.93 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,700 | 7.14 | $798.54 |
| Brett Moffitt | $5,600 | 4.04 | $1,385.43 |
| Michael McDowell | $5,400 | 3.19 | $1,690.63 |
| Ryan Preece | $5,300 | 1.01 | $5,226.73 |
| J.J. Yeley | $5,500 | -2.92 | n/a |
| Josh Wise | $5,200 | -3.94 | n/a |
| Michael Annett | $5,400 | -0.97 | n/a |