
Assuming DraftKings agrees Martin Truex Jr. is indeed starting 43rd today, he offers excellent value. (photo courtesy nascar)
Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.
Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:
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Drivers,DraftKings Price,Predicted Points,Price/Point
Dale Earnhardt Jr,”$11,200″,70.40,$159.09
Martin Truex Jr,”$8,400″,52.55,$159.85
Paul Menard,”$7,900″,46.92,$168.39
Sam Hornish Jr,”$6,300″,35.82,$175.88
Jimmie Johnson,”$10,100″,57.37,$176.05
Austin Dillon,”$8,000″,43.48,$183.99
Denny Hamlin,”$9,000″,48.73,$184.69
Jeff Gordon,”$9,600″,51.65,$185.87
Kevin Harvick,”$9,700″,51.04,$190.05
Kasey Kahne,”$9,500″,49.28,$192.78
Brad Keselowski,”$9,200″,47.65,$193.06
Kurt Busch,”$8,700″,43.41,$200.41
Ryan Blaney,”$5,800″,28.93,$200.49
Kyle Busch,”$8,800″,43.10,$204.18
Clint Bowyer,”$7,600″,32.22,$235.87
Carl Edwards,”$8,900″,37.01,$240.48
Joey Logano,”$9,100″,35.03,$259.76
Landon Cassill,”$5,600″,21.17,$264.57
Matt Kenseth,”$9,900″,35.50,$278.90
David Gilliland,”$5,700″,20.44,$278.91
Casey Mears,”$6,600″,22.75,$290.12
Greg Biffle,”$7,300″,24.36,$299.65
Kyle Larson,”$7,400″,24.07,$307.38
Travis Kvapil,”$5,300″,16.14,$328.44
Justin Allgaier,”$5,700″,17.15,$332.43
Tony Stewart,”$6,900″,19.38,$355.99
Trevor Bayne,”$6,500″,17.78,$365.67
Ricky Stenhouse Jr,”$6,000″,15.89,$377.68
Jamie McMurray,”$8,100″,20.82,$389.01
AJ Allmendinger,”$6,700″,15.49,$432.57
Danica Patrick,”$6,200″,12.69,$488.63
Aric Almirola,”$7,500″,13.53,$554.28
Michael Waltrip,”$5,400″,9.15,$590.39
David Ragan,”$7,100″,8.51,$834.03
Ryan Newman,”$7,700″,8.67,$887.66
Cole Whitt,”$5,600″,6.11,$916.97
Bobby Labonte,”$5,400″,1.06,”$5,098.07″
Timmy Hill,”$5,300″,0.09,”$60,707.12″
Matt DiBenedetto,”$5,400″,0.04,”$136,766.39″
Josh Wise,”$5,800″,0.02,”$293,794.47″
Michael McDowell,”$5,500″,-2.90,n/a
Alex Bowman,”$5,500″,-4.99,n/a
J.J. Yeley,”$5,400″,-7.97,n/a
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