Assuming DraftKings agrees Martin Truex Jr. is indeed starting 43rd today, he offers excellent value. (photo courtesy nascar)
Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.
Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:
| Drivers | DraftKings Price | Predicted Points | Price/Point |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dale Earnhardt Jr | $11,200 | 70.40 | $159.09 |
| Martin Truex Jr | $8,400 | 52.55 | $159.85 |
| Paul Menard | $7,900 | 46.92 | $168.39 |
| Sam Hornish Jr | $6,300 | 35.82 | $175.88 |
| Jimmie Johnson | $10,100 | 57.37 | $176.05 |
| Austin Dillon | $8,000 | 43.48 | $183.99 |
| Denny Hamlin | $9,000 | 48.73 | $184.69 |
| Jeff Gordon | $9,600 | 51.65 | $185.87 |
| Kevin Harvick | $9,700 | 51.04 | $190.05 |
| Kasey Kahne | $9,500 | 49.28 | $192.78 |
| Brad Keselowski | $9,200 | 47.65 | $193.06 |
| Kurt Busch | $8,700 | 43.41 | $200.41 |
| Ryan Blaney | $5,800 | 28.93 | $200.49 |
| Kyle Busch | $8,800 | 43.10 | $204.18 |
| Clint Bowyer | $7,600 | 32.22 | $235.87 |
| Carl Edwards | $8,900 | 37.01 | $240.48 |
| Joey Logano | $9,100 | 35.03 | $259.76 |
| Landon Cassill | $5,600 | 21.17 | $264.57 |
| Matt Kenseth | $9,900 | 35.50 | $278.90 |
| David Gilliland | $5,700 | 20.44 | $278.91 |
| Casey Mears | $6,600 | 22.75 | $290.12 |
| Greg Biffle | $7,300 | 24.36 | $299.65 |
| Kyle Larson | $7,400 | 24.07 | $307.38 |
| Travis Kvapil | $5,300 | 16.14 | $328.44 |
| Justin Allgaier | $5,700 | 17.15 | $332.43 |
| Tony Stewart | $6,900 | 19.38 | $355.99 |
| Trevor Bayne | $6,500 | 17.78 | $365.67 |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr | $6,000 | 15.89 | $377.68 |
| Jamie McMurray | $8,100 | 20.82 | $389.01 |
| AJ Allmendinger | $6,700 | 15.49 | $432.57 |
| Danica Patrick | $6,200 | 12.69 | $488.63 |
| Aric Almirola | $7,500 | 13.53 | $554.28 |
| Michael Waltrip | $5,400 | 9.15 | $590.39 |
| David Ragan | $7,100 | 8.51 | $834.03 |
| Ryan Newman | $7,700 | 8.67 | $887.66 |
| Cole Whitt | $5,600 | 6.11 | $916.97 |
| Bobby Labonte | $5,400 | 1.06 | $5,098.07 |
| Timmy Hill | $5,300 | 0.09 | $60,707.12 |
| Matt DiBenedetto | $5,400 | 0.04 | $136,766.39 |
| Josh Wise | $5,800 | 0.02 | $293,794.47 |
| Michael McDowell | $5,500 | -2.90 | n/a |
| Alex Bowman | $5,500 | -4.99 | n/a |
| J.J. Yeley | $5,400 | -7.97 | n/a |