Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s race at Bristol. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.
My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.
Note: the below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally to see all the columns:
[table caption=”” width=”450″ colwidth=”50|20|20|20″ colalign=”left|center|center|center”]
Drivers,DraftKings Price,Predicted Points,Price/Point
Kevin Harvick,”$10,500″,106.26,$98.82
Denny Hamlin,”$9,200″,72.64,$126.65
Kyle Busch,”$10,300″,80.22,$128.40
Jeff Gordon,”$8,400″,64.62,$130.00
Brad Keselowski,”$10,100″,72.00,$140.28
Dale Earnhardt Jr,”$8,300″,55.56,$149.38
Joey Logano,”$10,000″,65.70,$152.20
Kyle Larson,”$8,600″,55.73,$154.31
Carl Edwards,”$9,500″,58.22,$163.17
Matt Kenseth,”$10,400″,60.70,$171.35
Paul Menard,”$7,500″,43.72,$171.54
Martin Truex Jr,”$9,000″,51.66,$174.21
Kasey Kahne,”$8,200″,45.45,$180.41
Ryan Newman,”$7,600″,41.26,$184.20
Clint Bowyer,”$8,100″,42.38,$191.11
Kurt Busch,”$10,200″,49.39,$206.52
Aric Almirola,”$7,400″,31.36,$235.98
Tony Stewart,”$7,800″,27.36,$285.05
Austin Dillon,”$7,500″,25.68,$292.09
Sam Hornish Jr,”$6,100″,19.83,$307.59
Ryan Blaney,”$7,200″,22.62,$318.28
Jimmie Johnson,”$9,400″,29.50,$318.63
David Gilliland,”$5,600″,17.44,$321.06
AJ Allmendinger,”$7,300″,20.99,$347.76
J.J. Yeley,”$5,200″,14.39,$361.37
Greg Biffle,”$7,400″,19.86,$372.65
Danica Patrick,”$7,100″,17.30,$410.40
David Ragan,”$7,200″,16.12,$446.74
Ricky Stenhouse Jr,”$6,500″,13.25,$490.71
Justin Allgaier,”$6,000″,12.19,$492.34
Michael Annett,”$5,500″,9.36,$587.39
Trevor Bayne,”$7,000″,11.41,$613.37
Jamie McMurray,”$7,900″,12.79,$617.48
Casey Mears,”$7,300″,11.16,$654.00
Alex Bowman,”$5,300″,6.26,$846.86
Brett Moffitt,”$5,400″,5.39,”$1,001.91″
Cole Whitt,”$5,800″,5.28,”$1,097.51″
Matt DiBenedetto,”$5,200″,4.08,”$1,274.90″
Landon Cassill,”$5,300″,3.11,”$1,706.92″
Timmy Hill,”$5,200″,1.05,”$4,940.60″
Josh Wise,”$5,300″,0.16,”$33,647.91″
Michael McDowell,”$5,300″,-1.77,n/a
Mike Bliss,n/a,1.03,n/a
[/table]
Thanks so much… DK is fun and I DO NOT bet much…5-10$ but still very much learning. Which contest is the best to maximize returns? I have been doing the 3 man and 20 man.
I’m actually not sure yet which contests offer the most value–I need to look into that, too! I’m sure someone has figured it out.