DraftKings Driver Values: Michigan II, 2015

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Michigan. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups. Note: the below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest:

Drivers DraftKings Price Predicted Points Price/Point
Kevin Harvick $10,600 73.70 $143.82
Joey Logano $9,600 65.29 $147.05
Brad Keselowski $9,500 62.00 $153.23
Kyle Larson $8,100 51.70 $156.66
Kyle Busch $10,100 57.46 $175.79
Kurt Busch $9,900 53.08 $186.52
Carl Edwards $9,000 47.68 $188.76
Martin Truex Jr $9,600 49.42 $194.23
Jeff Gordon $8,500 43.26 $196.46
Jimmie Johnson $9,700 49.29 $196.80
Ryan Newman $7,100 32.00 $221.87
Kasey Kahne $8,200 36.35 $225.56
Dale Earnhardt Jr $9,300 38.76 $239.96
Paul Menard $7,800 31.47 $247.85
Denny Hamlin $8,400 33.85 $248.18
Casey Mears $7,200 28.56 $252.06
Matt Kenseth $9,700 35.29 $274.84
Jamie McMurray $7,900 27.65 $285.75
Austin Dillon $7,300 24.18 $301.89
Greg Biffle $7,100 23.30 $304.74
Michael Annett $5,300 17.16 $308.93
AJ Allmendinger $7,400 22.87 $323.50
Aric Almirola $7,400 22.73 $325.52
Danica Patrick $7,200 17.80 $404.57
Ricky Stenhouse Jr $7,200 17.72 $406.38
Ryan Blaney $7,300 17.94 $406.84
Clint Bowyer $7,400 17.45 $424.10
Tony Stewart $7,600 16.89 $450.00
Justin Allgaier $5,800 12.52 $463.25
David Gilliland $5,700 12.16 $468.91
Landon Cassill $5,300 11.18 $474.19
David Ragan $7,300 14.14 $516.16
Brett Moffitt $5,400 8.10 $666.39
Alex Bowman $5,300 7.15 $741.74
Josh Wise $5,300 7.06 $750.39
Cole Whitt $5,500 7.11 $773.14
Trevor Bayne $7,100 7.46 $951.13
Timmy Hill $5,200 3.02 $1,721.28
Sam Hornish Jr $5,600 1.55 $3,623.22
Travis Kvapil $5,300 0.01 $504,718.64
J.J. Yeley $5,200 -0.97 n/a
Jeb Burton $5,200 -2.91 n/a
Matt DiBenedetto $5,200 -3.96 n/a

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