Tag Archives: Texas

DraftKings Lineups: Texas I, 2017

chase elliott photo

Chase Elliott appears in every one of my optimized top 30 DraftKings lineups for Texas I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for Sunday’s Texas I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for Sunday’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Texas I. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for Sunday’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Texas I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck!

DraftKings Driver Values: Texas I, 2017

chase elliott photo

My numbers say Chase Elliott offers top DraftKings value at Texas I today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Texas I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Texas I, 2017

brad keselowski photo

Kez took over the top spot in my final Texas driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s  Cup race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Texas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Chase Elliott
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Jamie McMurray Continue reading

Early Rankings: Texas I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Texas I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Texas driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Texas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Texas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Chase Elliott
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Erik Jones Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Texas II, 2016

Jimmie Johnson Shoots Pistols at Texas photo

Jimmie Johnson appears in only 14 of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Texas II tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s Texas II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Texas II tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Texas II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Texas II, 2016

ryan blaney photo

Ryan Blaney looks good in DraftKings’ $7K tier tomorrow at Texas. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I deleted Matt DiBenedetto from the below table Sunday morning because he’s out due to a concussion. Jeffrey Earnhardt will replace him, but Earnhardt is not available in DraftKings today, so I didn’t add him to the list.

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Texas II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Texas II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. took over the top spot in my final Texas II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I replaced Matt Dibenedetto in the below rankings with Jeffrey Earnhardt Sunday morning because Dibenedetto is out due to a concussion.

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Texas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Chase Elliott
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

Early Rankings: Texas II, 2016

jimmie johnson photo

JJ tops my early Texas II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Texas II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Texas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Texas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Texas I, 2016

kurt busch photo

Jimmie Johnson, Martin Truex Jr. and Kurt Busch appear in nearly all of my algorithm’s top 25 DraftKings-Texas lineups. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 25 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s race at Texas. To compile them, first I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Texas I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the Solver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 25 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Texas I, 2016

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman offers good value today in DraftKing’s $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s race at Texas. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading