Tag Archives: Talladega

Final Rankings: Talladega I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. remains my pick to win tomorrow in my final Talladega I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Talladega on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Paul Menard
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Austin Dillon
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading

Early Rankings: Talladega I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. tops my early Talladega I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Talladega I driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races, the qualifying data from past three plate races, and the loop data for last year’s Daytona Duels (albeit weighted very lightly). Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front.

The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Talladega II, 2015

Martin Truex Jr photo

Assuming DraftKings agrees Martin Truex Jr. is indeed starting 43rd today, he offers excellent value. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega II, 2015

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. remains numero uno in my final Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Talladega on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Early Rankings: Talladega II, 2015

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. tops my early Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve now completed my final Talladega II rankings (click here to see them).

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races, the qualifying data from last year’s Daytona 500 and the spring Talladega race (because those are the last two races in which qualifying occurred and didn’t involve drafting) , and the loop data for this year’s Daytona Duels. Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front.

The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Martin Truex Jr.
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega I, 2015

Kasey Kahne tops my final Talladega rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kasey Kahne tops my final Talladega rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Talladega on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kasey Kahne
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Greg Biffle
  8. Jeff Gordon
  9. Paul Menard
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading

Early Rankings: Talladega I, 2015

Joey Logano tops my early Talladega rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Joey Logano tops my early Talladega rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races, the qualifying data from last year’s Daytona 500 (because that’s the last sorta-recent plate race in which qualifying didn’t involve drafting), and the loop data for this year’s Daytona Duels. Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front:

  1. Joey Logano
  2. Kurt Busch
  3. Kasey Kahne
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Greg Biffle
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr
  8. Martin Truex Jr
  9. Kevin Harvick
  10. Jeff Gordon Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega II, 2014

Denny Hamlin remains my pick to win Talladega II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Denny Hamlin remains my pick to win Talladega II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And now, unfortunately, they draft during qualifying, too, so the qualifying speed chart numbers are out the window as well.

The point? I have little new information to use to update my early Talladega rankings. I did cruise around online this morning to get a feel for other handicappers’ updated/final rankings, and I then made some tweaks to mine. The results:

  1. Denny Hamlin
  2. Greg Biffle
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Dale Earnhardt. Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Jeff Gordon
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Talladega II, 2014

Denny Hamlin tops my mid-week Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Denny Hamlin tops my mid-week Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from this year’s Daytona 500 (because that’s the only plate race this year in which qualifying didn’t involve drafting), and the loop data for the past three plate races. Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front:

  1. Denny Hamlin
  2. Greg Biffle
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Dale Earnhardt. Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Jeff Gordon
  9. Austin Dillon
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega I, 2014

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And now, unfortunately, they draft during qualifying, too, so the qualifying speed chart numbers are out the window as well.

The point? I have little new information to use to update my early Talladega rankings. I did cruise around online this morning to get a feel for other handicappers’ rankings, and I then made some tweaks to mine. The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Ryan Newman
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Jeff Gordon Continue reading