Tag Archives: Talladega

DraftKings Lineups: Talladega II, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers top DraftKings value at Talladega today in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Talladega II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Talladega II today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Talladega II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Talladega II, 2016

jimmie johnson photo

Jimmie Johnson offers top DraftKings value at Talladega II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega II, 2016

brad keselowski photo

Kez remains my pick to win Talladega II today in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s Talladega II race. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Talladega on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Chase Elliott
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Kevin Harvick
  8. Martin Truex Jr
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Paul Menard Continue reading

Early Rankings: Talladega II, 2016

brad keselowski photo

Kez tops my early Talladega II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Talladega II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races and the qualifying data from the past four plate races. Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front.

The results:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Chase Elliott
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Talladega I, 2016

michael mcdowell photo

My DraftKings NASCAR lineup optimizer suggests Michael McDowell can help complete our Talladega I lineups.

Here are my top 20 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s race at Talladega. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Saturday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Talladega I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 20 best lineups for today’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Talladega I, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Whoa, Paul Menard–yes, Paul Menard!–appears to offer top DraftKings value at Talladega tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. remains my pick to win tomorrow in my final Talladega I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Talladega on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Paul Menard
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Austin Dillon
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading

Early Rankings: Talladega I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. tops my early Talladega I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Talladega I driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races, the qualifying data from past three plate races, and the loop data for last year’s Daytona Duels (albeit weighted very lightly). Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front.

The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Talladega II, 2015

Martin Truex Jr photo

Assuming DraftKings agrees Martin Truex Jr. is indeed starting 43rd today, he offers excellent value. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega II, 2015

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. remains numero uno in my final Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Talladega on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading