Tag Archives: Sonoma

DraftKings Driver Values: Sonoma, 2017

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth is a good DraftKings options in the $7K tier because he didn’t qualify (and therefore should score mega Place Differential points). (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Sonoma race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Sonoma in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. AJ Allmendinger
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Jamie McMurray
  6. Kurt Busch
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Clint Bowyer
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading

Early Rankings: Sonoma, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Sonoma driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Sonoma driver rankings, which improve upon the below early driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Watkins Glen;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Sonoma; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past four races at Watkins Glen.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kurt Busch
  3. AJ Allmendinger
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Jamie McMurray
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Sonoma, 2016

Greg Biffle photo

Greg Biffle appears in 29 of my 30 top DraftKings lineups for Sonoma today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Sonoma race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Saturday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Sonoma. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Sonoma 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Sonoma, 2016

Jamie McMurray photo

Jamie McMurray offers top DraftKings value today at Sonoma. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Sonoma race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2016

Carl Edwards photo

Carl Edwards took over the top spot in my final Sonoma driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Carl Edwards
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. AJ Allmendinger
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Early Rankings: Sonoma, 2016

jimmie johnson photo

Jimmie Johnson tops my early Sonoma driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Sonoma 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Watkins Glen;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Sonoma; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past four races at Watkins Glen.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Kurt Busch
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Clint Bowyer
  7. Kevin Harvick
  8. AJ Allmendinger
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2015

Clint Bowyer photo

Clint Bowyer tops my final Sonoma rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Clint Bowyer
  2. Kurt Busch
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Martin Truex Jr.
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. A.J. Allmendinger
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Early Rankings: Sonoma, 2015

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Sonoma rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Watkins Glen;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Sonoma; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past four races at Watkins Glen.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Clint Bowyer
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Kevin Harvick
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Marcos Ambrose
  2. Clint Bowyer
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jamie McMurray
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Kevin Harvick
  10. A.J. Allmendinger Continue reading