Tag Archives: Richmond

DraftKings Lineups: Richmond I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. appears in every one of my optimized top 30 DraftKings lineups for Richmond I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Richmond I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for the race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Richmond I. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for the race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Richmond I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck!

DraftKings Driver Values: Richmond I, 2017

Trevor Bayne photo

Trevor Bayne offers nice value in DraftKings’ $6K tier today at Richmond. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Richmond I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Richmond I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. took over the top spot in my final Richmond I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Richmond. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Richmond on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Richmond I, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch tops my early Richmond I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final driver rankings for Richmond I, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Richmond. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Richmond;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Pocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Richmond; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Kevin Harvick
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Richmond II, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Look to Paul Menard for help filling the bottom of your Richmond II DraftKings lineups tonight. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s Richmond II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Richmond tonight. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for tonight’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Richmond II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck tonight!

DraftKings Driver Values: Richmond II, 2016

kasey kahne photo

Kasey Kahne offers good DraftKings value tonight in the $7K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Richmond II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Richmond II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win Richmond II in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Richmond. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Richmond on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Martin Truex Jr.
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Richmond II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my mid-week Richmond II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Richmond II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Richmond. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Richmond;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at four other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., MartinsvillePhoenixPocono, Indy and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Richmond; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Richmond I, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. appears in all 20 of my optimized Richmond I DraftKings lineups. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 20 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s race at Richmond. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Richmond I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 20 best lineups for today’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Richmond I, 2016

ryan blaney photo

Ryan Blaney looks good in DraftKings’ $6K range today at Richmond.

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Richmond. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results (which in this case is actually the Practice 1 results because qualifying was cancelled). Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading