Tag Archives: Pocono

Early Rankings: Pocono I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Pocono I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Pocono I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Pocono. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Pocono;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Richmond and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Pocono; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Pocono II, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

My DraftKings lineup optimizer included KyBu in 29 of its top 30 lineups for Pocono II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s race at Pocono. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Pocono today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Pocono II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Pocono II, 2016

Jamie McMurray photo

Jamie McMurray offers good DraftKings value in the $7K range tomorrow at Pocono II. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Pocono II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading