Tag Archives: Phoenix

DraftKings Lineups: Phoenix I, 2017

joey logano photo

Sliced Bread appears in 29 of my top 30 DraftKings lineups for Phoenix I tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s Phoenix race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Phoenix tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Phoenix I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix I, 2017

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers nice DraftKings value at Phoenix I tomorrow in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Phoenix race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the qualifying results/starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Phoenix I, 2017

joey logano photo

Joey Logano took over the top spot in my final Phoenix I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Phoenix on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Joey Logano
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Martin Truex Jr.
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Phoenix I, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Phoenix driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Phoenix I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Phoenix;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Richmond, MartinsvilleIndyPocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Phoenix; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Martin Truex Jr.
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Phoenix II, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch appears in 25 of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Phoenix II. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Phoenix II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Phoenix II today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Phoenix II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr.’s last place qualifying result really cranked up his DraftKings value for tomorrow’s Phoenix II race. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Phoenix II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Phoenix II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win Phoenix II in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Phoenix on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Early Rankings: Phoenix II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Phoenix II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Phoenix II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Phoenix;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Richmond, MartinsvilleIndyPocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Phoenix; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kyle Larson Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix I, 2016

Austin Dillon photo

At $6,800, Austin Dillon looks like a great DraftKings lineup filler today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Phoenix. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Phoenix I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win tomorrow in my final Phoenix driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Phoenix on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Martin Truex Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading