Tag Archives: Michigan

DraftKings Driver Values: Michigan I, 2017

Ty Dillon photo

Ty Dillon offers good DraftKings value today in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Michigan I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Michigan I in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Larson
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Ryan Blaney
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Michigan I, 2017

Update: I’ve posted my final Michigan I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;

    Martin Truex Jr photo

    Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Michigan I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte and Kentucky;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Chase Elliott
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading