Tag Archives: Michigan

DraftKings Driver Values: Michigan I, 2017

Ty Dillon photo

Ty Dillon offers good DraftKings value today in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Michigan I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Michigan I in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Larson
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Ryan Blaney
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Michigan I, 2017

Update: I’ve posted my final Michigan I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;

    Martin Truex Jr photo

    Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Michigan I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte and Kentucky;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Chase Elliott
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Michigan II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. appears in every one of my DraftKings lineup optimizer’s top 30 lineups for today’s Michigan II race. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Michigan II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Michigan today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Michigan II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

Final Rankings: Michigan II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win Michigan II today in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Early Rankings: Michigan II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Michigan II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Michigan II driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte, Atlanta, Chicagoland and Kentucky;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Michigan I, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers good DraftKings value in the $6K range today at Michigan I (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Michigan I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Michigan I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Michigan I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Michigan I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick’s crappy qualifying effort raised his DraftKings value today at Michigan I. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Michigan I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan I, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. jumped into the top slot in my final Michigan I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Early Rankings: Michigan I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Michigan I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Michigan I 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte and Kentucky;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Kurt Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Kyle Busch
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading