
Kasey Kahne nabbed the pole in qualifying.
As expected, the NASCAR Sprint Cup teams got in all three practices and qualifying Friday and Saturday at Michigan International Speedway (MIS), giving those of us handicapping NASCAR or playing fantasy NASCAR a substantial amount of pre-race data to examine. In addition, according to the Goodyear Tire Notes posted on Jayski’s Michigan Race Info page, the teams are running the same right- and left-side tires at MIS this week as they did in the June MIS race, giving an extra boost to race predictability.
However, the weather forecast for MIS at Weather.com calls for a 10–20% chance of scattered thunderstorms late Sunday morning and continuing through the afternoon, and that hurts predictability a bit because rain would alter the racing surface from what the teams have seen so far this week, and it could also give us a wild-card winner via a rain stoppage. Plus, as I noted in my race preview, the odds fuel-mileage tactics will come into play at MIS are elevated because the big, wide nature of this track generally produces fewer caution flags than most other tracks on the circuit.
So, I still rate tomorrow’s race predictability at average, or maybe even a tick below. I therefore will look to save starts where possible on my Yahoo! fantasy team, and I recommend bettors take a straight-forward approach to the betting lines. Continue reading →