Tag Archives: Michigan

Final Rankings: Michigan II, 2012

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Greg Biffle
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Mark Martin
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Martin Truex, Jr.
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Kevin Harvick
  10. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Michigan II, 2012

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Kansas, Atlanta, Texas, Chicago, Charlotte and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Greg Biffle
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Martin Truex, Jr. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan I, 2012

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Greg Biffle
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Tony Stewart
  7. Mark Martin
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Martin Truex, Jr.
  10. Dale Earnhardt, Jr. Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Michigan I, 2012

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Kansas, Atlanta, Texas, Chicago, Charlotte and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Greg Biffle
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Kevin Harvick
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Tony Stewart
  10. Jeff Gordon Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan II, 2011

Here are my final driver rankings for this weekend’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Greg Biffle
  3. Mark Martin
  4. Ryan Newman
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. David Ragan
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Michigan II, 2011

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at the big-flat track in Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the loop, practice and qualifying data for the 2011 races at Michigan, Fontana, Kansas and Kentucky:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Denny Hamlin
  3. Tony Stewart
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Paul Menard
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Greg Biffle
  9. Ryan Newman
  10. David Ragan Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan I, 2011

Here are my final driver rankings for Sunday’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the loop, practice and qualifying data from the Fontana and Kansas race this year, the fall 2010 race at Fontana and the August 2010 race at Michigan:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  6. Tony Stewart
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Greg Biffle
  9. David Reutimann
  10. David Ragan Continue reading

Race Recap: Michigan II

Kevin Harvick passes Tony Stewart during a restart while the field runs five-wide behind them. (Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images)

My picks didn’t fare too well at Michigan on Sunday:

  1. Jimmie Johnson: The 48 was good early but began slipping back a little as the race progressed. Then, at least two slow pit stops put Johnson way back in the field, and he had a hard time recovering. And once again, the 48 team seemed to have trouble improving the car throughout the race. Johnson finished 12th.
  2. Greg Biffle: The 16 was very good most of the race and contended for the win. At the end, however, Biffle was just a bit too loose to take the checkered flag. He finished 4th.
  3. Jeff Burton: The 31 was pretty good much of the day, though more like a top-8 car than a contender to win. Alas, when Jeff Gordon suffered a flat tire late in the race, Burton blasted him from behind and seriously damaged his own car. He finished 24th.
  4. Kasey Kahne: The 9 was above average, but far slower than I expected. After the race, even Kahne said, “Something went wrong today.” He finished 14th.
  5. Kurt Busch: The Duece blew an engine at lap 30 and finished 40th.
  6. Tony Stewart: I thought the 14 would be strong, and he was. He was a contender for the win late, but at the end he didn’t quite have enough to run down the leaders.

Note: Pit tactics came into play Sunday during a late caution. Some teams took four tires, some took two and Denny Hamlin didn’t pit at all. He turned that track position into a 2nd place finish.

Race Preview Update: Michigan II

Kasey Kahne nabbed the pole in qualifying.

As expected, the NASCAR Sprint Cup teams got in all three practices and qualifying Friday and Saturday at Michigan International Speedway (MIS), giving those of us handicapping NASCAR or playing fantasy NASCAR a substantial amount of pre-race data to examine. In addition, according to the Goodyear Tire Notes posted on Jayski’s Michigan Race Info page, the teams are running the same right- and left-side tires at MIS this week as they did in the June MIS race, giving an extra boost to race predictability.

However, the weather forecast for MIS at Weather.com calls for a 10–20% chance of scattered thunderstorms late Sunday morning and continuing through the afternoon, and that hurts predictability a bit because rain would alter the racing surface from what the teams have seen so far this week, and it could also give us a wild-card winner via a rain stoppage. Plus, as I noted in my race preview, the odds fuel-mileage tactics will come into play at MIS are elevated because the big, wide nature of this track generally produces fewer caution flags than most other tracks on the circuit.

So, I still rate tomorrow’s race predictability at average, or maybe even a tick below. I therefore will look to save starts where possible on my Yahoo! fantasy team, and I recommend bettors take a straight-forward approach to the betting lines. Continue reading

Race Preview: Michigan II

Kurt Busch started on the pole at MIS in June. (Photo Chris Trotman/Getty Images)

The NASCAR Sprint Cup series heads back to Michigan International Speedway (MIS) this week for another run on the 2-mile, D-shaped track with 18 degrees of banking. The series just raced at MIS in June, so fantasy NASCAR players and handicappers have very recent data to review, greatly bolstering predictability. In addition, Weather.com suggests at press time that the weather will be kind to the race teams on Friday, Saturday and Sunday, so we should get solid practice and qualifying data to review, and there’s little chance rain will mess with the race itself.

Sunday’s race enjoys above-average predictability then, right? No. Since the June race, I’ve thought long and hard about the races on the really big tracks, and I’ve concluded the chances fuel-mileage tactics will come into play are fairly high at these venues. Such tactics can turn a race’s running order upside down. Continue reading