Tag Archives: Las Vegas

DraftKings Lineups: Las Vegas, 2017

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth appears in every one of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Las Vegas tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s Las Vegas race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Las Vegas tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Las Vegas 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Las Vegas, 2017

chris buescher photo

To finish the bottom of your Las Vegas DraftKings lineup(s), take a look at Chris Buescher. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Las Vegas race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the qualifying results/starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Las Vegas, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. took over the top spot in my final Las Vegas driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s Las Vegas race. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Las Vegas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Chase Elliott
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Kyle Larson
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Early Rankings: Las Vegas, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Las Vegas driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Las Vegas driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Las Vegas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Watkins Glen;
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Las Vegas;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., Bristol, Darlington, Dover and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Las Vegas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

Update 3/8/17: I tweaked the rankings to match the official entry list.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Las Vegas, 2016

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman offers good value today in DraftKing’s $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Las Vegas. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Las Vegas, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win today in my final Las Vegas driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Las Vegas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Las Vegas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Kurt Busch
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Kyle Busch
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

Early Rankings: Las Vegas, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Las Vegas driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve now completed my final Las Vegas driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Las Vegas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Watkins Glen;
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Las Vegas;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., Bristol, Darlington, Dover and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Las Vegas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Steeps.

Note: I haven’t found an entry list yet, so these rankings probably include drivers who won’t run at Las Vegas, and might omit drivers who will.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Final Rankings: Las Vegas, 2015

Jimmie Johnson took over the top spot in my final Las Vegas rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jimmie Johnson took over the top spot in my final Las Vegas rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Las Vegas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Las Vegas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  8. Ryan Newman
  9. Kasey Kahne
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

Early Rankings: Las Vegas, 2015

Kevin Harvick tops my early Las Vegas picks. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick tops my early Las Vegas picks. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Las Vegas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Watkins Glen;
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Las Vegas;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., Bristol, Darlington, Dover and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Las Vegas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  8. Kasey Kahne
  9. Ryan Newman
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Final Rankings: Las Vegas, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Las Vegas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Las Vegas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Kasey Kahne
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Clint Bowyer
  6. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Kevin Harvick
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading