Tag Archives: Kentucky

DraftKings Driver Values: Kentucky, 2017

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson offers top DraftKings value for tonight’s Kentucky race (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Kentucky race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kentucky, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch remains on top in my final Kentucky driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching the Friday practice and qualifying data from Kentucky, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Jamie McMurray
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

Early Rankings: Kentucky, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch tops my early Kentucky driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Kentucky driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona II, Talladega and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kentucky;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte, Atlanta and Michigan;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kentucky; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Kentucky, 2016

Hambone appears in 28 of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Kentucky. (photo courtesy nascar)

Hambone appears in 28 of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Kentucky. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s Kentucky race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Kentucky tonight. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tonight’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Kentucky 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck tonight!

DraftKings Driver Values: Kentucky, 2016

Ricky Stenhouse Jr photo

Ricky Stenhouse Jr looks good in DraftKings’ $6K range tonight at Kentucky. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Kentucky race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kentucky, 2016

jimmie johnson photo

Jimmie Johnson took over the top spot in my final Kentucky driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching the Friday practice data from Kentucky, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Early Rankings: Kentucky, 2016

brad keselowski photo

Brad Keselowski tops my early Kentucky driver rankings.. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Kentucky driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona II, Talladega and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kentucky;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte, Atlanta and Michigan;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kentucky; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Martin Truex Jr.
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kentucky, 2015

brad keselowski photo

Brad Keselowski took over the top spot in my final Kentucky rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching the practice data from Kentucky on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Martin Truex Jr.
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Jeff Gordon Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Kentucky, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Kentucky rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kentucky;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte, Atlanta and Michigan;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kentucky; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kentucky, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Kentucky on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading