Tag Archives: Kansas

Early Rankings: Kansas I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Kansas I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kansas;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Michigan, Kentucky, Fontana, Charlotte, Texas, Atlanta and Chicagoland);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kansas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Kyle Larson
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Kansas II, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth appears in every one of my optimized top 30 DraftKings lineups for Kansas II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Kansas II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Kansas II today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Kansas II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Kansas II, 2016

chase elliott photo

Chase Elliott offers second-best DraftKings value at Kansas II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Kansas. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kansas II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win tomorrow’s Kansas II race in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s Kansas II race. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Kansas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Chase Elliott
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Early Rankings: Kansas II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Kansas II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Kansas II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kansas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Michigan, Kentucky, Fontana, Charlotte, Texas, Atlanta and Chicagoland);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kansas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Kansas I, 2016

Austin Dillon photo

For help in DraftKing’s $7K range tonight at Kansas look at Kyle Larson and Austin Dillon. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 15 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s race at Kansas. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Kansas I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 15 best lineups for today’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Kansas I, 2016

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson offers good DraftKings value in the $7K range tonight at Kansas (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s race at Kansas. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kansas I, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. vaulted to #1 in my final Kansas I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Kansas on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Kansas I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Kansas I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kansas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Michigan, Kentucky, Fontana, Charlotte, Texas, Atlanta and Chicagoland);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kansas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Kansas II, 2015

Austin Dillon photo

Austin Dillon offers great DraftKings value today in the $6K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Kansas. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading