Final Rankings: Kansas I, 2012

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Kansas on Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data (the practice data is screwy this weekend, so I discarded it):

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Greg Biffle
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Tony Stewart
  7. Mark Martin
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Kasey Kahne
  10. Jeff Gordon Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Kansas I, 2012

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kansas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Charlotte, Atlanta, Texas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kansas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Greg Biffle
  4. Tony Stewart
  5. Jeff Gordon
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kansas II, 2011

Here are my final driver rankings for this weekend’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. David Ragan
  5. Greg Biffle
  6. Clint Bowyer
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Mark Martin
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Ryan Newman Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Kansas II, 2011

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching the loop, practice and qualifying data for the 2011 races at Kansas, Kentucky, Chicagoland and Michigan:

  1. Kurt Busch
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Tony Stewart
  5. Greg Biffle
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. David Ragan Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kansas I, 2011

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data fromKansas  Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the loop, practice and qualifying data from the fall 2010 races at Fontana and Kansas, and this spring’s race at Fontana:

  1. Greg Biffle
  2. Jeff Gordon
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Tony Stewart
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Kansas I, 2011

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at the big-flat track at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching the loop, practice and qualifying data for the fall 2010 races at Fontana and Kansas, and this spring’s race at Fontana:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Jeff Gordon
  3. Greg Biffle
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Tony Stewart
  6. Ryan Newman
  7. Jamie McMurray
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Carl Edwards
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Race Preview Update: Kansas

Jeff Gordon was fast Friday and Saturday in the prelims and is the favorite for today's race. (Photo Rusty Jarrett/Getty Images for NASCAR)

As expected, the Kansas City area enjoyed excellent, consistent weather Friday and Saturday, so the NASCAR Sprint Cup teams got in all three practice sessions and qualifying. To handicap today’s race, I crunched the numbers from those sessions to produce initial rankings, and then I merged those rankings with the historical rankings I produced earlier this week (weighting the results heavily toward the initial rankings).

Finally, I tweaked the results by considering starting positions, 10-lap averages and the opinions of another online expert. I came up with this top five:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Greg Biffle
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Kevin Harvick

In my opinion, Gordon is the clear favorite to win. He was fast in qualifying trim Friday, and fast on both short and long runs in race trim Saturday. Plus, he has an excellent starting position (3rd), and he looks great in the historical data. My money says Gordon wins today and adds some excitement to the Chase. Continue reading

Race Preview: Kansas

This week the series heads to Kansas City, Kan., for a run on Kansas Speedway. Kansas Speedway is a 1.5-mile, D-shaped track with only 15 degrees of banking in the turns, making it the shallowest of the cookie cutter tracks. These stats place it near the specs of Michigan, Fontana and Chicagoland. The series has already run at the aforementioned tracks this season (including twice at Michigan), so we have substantial historical data (i.e., practice, qualifying and race data) at our disposal this week, and that alone improves this race’s predictability quite a bit. Continue reading