Tag Archives: Homestead

Early Rankings: Homestead, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth tops my early Homestead driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Homestead 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Watkins Glen and Talladega;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Homestead;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Dover);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Homestead; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Homestead, 2015

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson offers top DraftKings value in the $7K tier today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Homestead. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win today in my final Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading