Tag Archives: Homestead

DraftKings Lineups: Homestead, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth appears in every one of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Homestead today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Homestead race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Homestead today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Homestead 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Homestead, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers nice DraftKings value at Homestead today in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Homestead. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. took over the top slot in my final Homestead driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Kyle Busch
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Homestead, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth tops my early Homestead driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Homestead 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Watkins Glen and Talladega;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Homestead;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Dover);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Homestead; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Homestead, 2015

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson offers top DraftKings value in the $7K tier today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Homestead. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win today in my final Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

Early Rankings: Homestead, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve now completed my final Homestead rankings (click here to see them).

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Watkins Glen and Talladega;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Homestead;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Dover);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Homestead; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2014

Jeff Gordon remains my pick to win today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon remains my pick to win today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Carl Edwards
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Homestead, 2014

Jeff Gordon tops my early Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon tops my early Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Watkins Glen and Talladega;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Homestead;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Dover);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Homestead; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2013

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kasey Kahne
  5. Martin Truex, Jr.
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jeff Gordon
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading