Tag Archives: handicapping

DraftKings Driver Values: Charlotte II, 2017

aric almirola photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings’ lineups today, take a look at Aric Almirola in the $5–$6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Charlotte II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Charlotte II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Charlotte II today in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Charlotte. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Charlotte on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Chase Elliott
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Kyle Larson
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Jamie McMurray
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading

Early Rankings: Charlotte II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Charlotte II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Charlotte II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Charlotte. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Charlotte;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasAtlantaTexasChicagoMichigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Charlotte; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading