Tag Archives: handicapping

DraftKings Driver Values: Kansas II, 2017

brad keselowski photo

At $10,100, Brad Keselowski offers relatively crappy DraftKings value at Kansas II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Kansas II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kansas II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Kansas II today in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s Kansas II race. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Kansas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Ryan Blaney
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Daniel Suarez Continue reading

Early Rankings: Kansas II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Kansas II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Kansas II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Kansas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Kansas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Michigan, Kentucky, Fontana, Charlotte, Texas, Atlanta and Chicagoland);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Kansas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Chase Elliott
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading