Tag Archives: Fontana

Early Rankings: Fontana, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Fontana driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Fontana driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Fontana;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Fontana; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Chase Elliott
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Martin Truex Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Kyle Larson Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Fontana, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

At $8,800, Martin Truex Jr. is a must-have today on DraftKings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Fontana. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

More reading: Yesterday, using the below points projections, I posted optimized DraftKings lineups for Fontana.

The table: Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Fontana, 2016

Brian Vickers photo

Brian Vickers is a must-have if you’re playing DraftKings’ Fontana race tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my Top 15 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s race at Fontana. To compile them, first I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 15 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest whole number. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

Note: If you want to see my points projections for each driver and their price/point value, I’ve posted my Fontana driver points and values projection table, too.

The lineups: Continue reading