Tag Archives: Fontana

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Clint Bowyer
  9. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading

Early Rankings: Fontana, 2014

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Fontana;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Fontana; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2013

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Clint Bowyer
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Mark Martin
  8. Greg Biffle
  9. Martin Truex, Jr.
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Early Rankings: Fontana, 2013

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Fontana;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Fontana; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Clint Bowyer
  4. Mark Martin
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Greg Biffle Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2012

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the prelim data from Fontana Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Tony Stewart
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Greg Biffle
  9. Clint Bowyer
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Fontana, 2012

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Fontana, Calif. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega), the loop data for the past four races at Fontana, the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky), and the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Greg Biffle
  5. Tony Stewart
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. Kasey Kahne
  9. Martin Truex, Jr.
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2011

Here are my final driver rankings for this week’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Tony Stewart
  2. Mark Martin
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Clint Bowyer
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Ryan Newman
  10. Jeff Burton Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Fontana, 2011

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR race at Fontana, Calif. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data for the Aug. 2010 race at Michigan and the fall 2010 races at Fontana and Kansas, and the loop data for those same races:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Jeff Gordon
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Mark Martin
  5. Clint Bowyer
  6. Tony Stewart
  7. Jamie McMurray
  8. Kasey Kahne
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Race Preview Update: Fontana II

Jamie McMurray nabbed the pole for Sunday's race. (Photo Jason Smith/Getty Images for NASCAR)

As expected, the Fontana, Calif., area enjoyed excellent, consistent weather Friday and Saturday, so the NASCAR Sprint Cup teams got in all three practice sessions and qualifying. To handicap Sunday’s race, I crunched the numbers from those sessions to produce initial rankings, and then I merged those rankings with the historical rankings I produced earlier this week (weighting the results heavily toward the initial rankings).

Finally, I tweaked the results by considering starting positions, 10-lap averages and the opinions of another online expert. I came up with this top five:

  1. Greg Biffle
  2. Jamie McMurray
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Matt Kenseth

I liked Biffle in my mid-week preview (I rated him #4), but I didn’t imagine he could dislodge Johnson from the top spot in the prelims. Biffle looked very good on short and long runs in practice, however, and he’s got a decent starting position (he rolls off sixth). Add all that to his strong historical numbers, and the Bif is my pick to win.

McMurray vaulted way up my rankings thanks to lightning fast one-lap numbers in all four sessions, excellent 10-lap averages on Saturday, and his most-excellent starting position (yes, he’s on the pole). Continue reading

Race Preview: Fontana II

Jimmie Johnson gets his car serviced during his winning run at Fontana in February. (Photo Jason Smith/Getty Images for NASCAR)

This week the series heads back to Fontana, Calif., for a run on Auto Club Speedway. Auto Club Speedway is a 2-mile, D-shaped track with only 14 degrees of banking in the turns. These specs place it near those of the tracks at Michigan, Kansas and Chicagoland. The series has already run at the aforementioned tracks this season (including twice at Michigan), so we have substantial historical data (i.e., practice, qualifying and race data) at our disposal this week, and that alone improves this race’s predictability quite a bit. In addition, Weather.com says the speedway area should receive clear, warm, consistent weather all race weekend, further bolstering predictability.

However, like Michigan and Pocono, Fontana is a big, big track, and that increases that chances fuel mileage and the accompanying pit-road tactics will come into play during the race. That decreases predictability because pit-road/fuel-mileage tactics can really shake up the finishing order if they come into play. Continue reading