Tag Archives: Fontana

DraftKings Driver Values: Fontana, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish to bottom of your DraftKings lineups for Fontana tomorrow, take a look at AJ Allmendinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Fontana race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the qualifying results/starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Fontana driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s NASCAR Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Chase Elliott
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Kyle Larson
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Fontana, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Fontana driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Fontana driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Fontana;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Fontana; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Chase Elliott
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Martin Truex Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Kyle Larson Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Fontana, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

At $8,800, Martin Truex Jr. is a must-have today on DraftKings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Fontana. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

More reading: Yesterday, using the below points projections, I posted optimized DraftKings lineups for Fontana.

The table: Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Fontana, 2016

Brian Vickers photo

Brian Vickers is a must-have if you’re playing DraftKings’ Fontana race tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my Top 15 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s race at Fontana. To compile them, first I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 15 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest whole number. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

Note: If you want to see my points projections for each driver and their price/point value, I’ve posted my Fontana driver points and values projection table, too.

The lineups: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

KyBu took over the top spot in my final Fontana driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Martin Truex Jr.
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Austin Dillon Continue reading

Early Rankings: Fontana, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Fontana driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve completed my final Fontana driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Fontana;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Fontana; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Carl Edwards
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2015

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Fontana rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Fontana rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Ryan Newman
  7. Jeff Gordon
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

Early Rankings: Fontana, 2015

Kevin Harvick tops my early Fontana rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick tops my early Fontana rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Fontana;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Texas, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Fontana; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Ryan Newman
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Final Rankings: Fontana, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Fontana. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Fontana on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Clint Bowyer
  9. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading