Tag Archives: Dover

DraftKings Driver Values: Dover I, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish to bottom of your Dover I DraftKings lineups, take a look at the Dinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Dover I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Dover I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win tomorrow’s Dover race. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Early Rankings: Dover I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Dover I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading