Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:
Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:
The results:
Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:
Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:
The results:
Here are my final driver rankings for this weekend’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:
Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the loop, practice and qualifying data for the 2011 races at Dover and Bristol:
Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Richmond. I compiled them by crunching the practice data from Dover yesterday, and then melding it with the historical data:
Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Dover, Del. I compiled them by crunching the loop, practice and qualifying data for the fall 2010 race at Dover, the March 2011 race at Bristol and last week’s race at Darlington:
Kenseth and Bowyer talk during practice Friday. Both should run up front today in the race. (Photo Jim McIsaac/Getty Images for NASCAR)
The Sprint Cup teams got in all three practices and qualifying at Dover under warm, sunny skies, and that’s good for predictability because it gives us lots of data to review. Today’s forecast on Weather.com calls for cooler weather during the race today, however, and that reduces the value of all that warm-weather data somewhat because the cars will behave a little differently on a cool track than a warm track.
Two more factors boost predictability. First, according to the Goodyear tire notes on Jayski.com, the teams are running the same tires they did in the May race, and that helps because it allows the teams to lean heavily on their notes from the May race. Finally, we already had solid historical data to review prior to yesterday’s preliminaries, which I discussed in my mid-week preview.
Overall, I rate predictability a little above average today. Fantasy players can therefore be a bit aggressive with start saving (though it’s questionable if you should still be saving starts this late in the season), and bettors can consider taking slightly tighter lines than normal. Continue reading
Kyle Busch led six times at Dover this spring, and Jimmie Johnson led eight. (Photo Todd Warshaw/Getty Images)
The Sprint Cup series returns to Dover, Del., this week for a run on Dover International Speedway, a 1 mile, steep-banked, concrete track known as The Monster Mile. We should enjoy decent predictability this weekend because 1) we have solid 2010 practice, qualifying and race data to review from Dover and two other shortish-banked tracks, Bristol and Darlington, and 2) Weather.com Dover will receive dry, warm weather on Friday and Saturday, with a chance of showers on Sunday.
Handicapping Dover
I examined the practice, qualifying and race data from all the 2010 races at Dover, Bristol and Darlington to produce historical rankings. Then I looked at the same data for just the Dover race in May, and I merged those results with the historical rankings, thereby making the rankings much more Dover-specific.
I tweaked those initial rankings with the opinions of other online NASCAR handicappers and my own race-recap notes from the May Dover race to come up with this top 13: Continue reading