Tag Archives: Dover

DraftKings Lineups: Dover I, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Happy Harvick appears in every one of my optimized top 30 DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Dover I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for the race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Dover I. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for the race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Dover I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck!

DraftKings Driver Values: Dover I, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish to bottom of your Dover I DraftKings lineups, take a look at the Dinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Dover I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Dover I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win tomorrow’s Dover race. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading