Tag Archives: Dover

DraftKings Lineups: Dover I, 2017

Kevin Harvick photo

Happy Harvick appears in every one of my optimized top 30 DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Dover I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for the race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Dover I. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for the race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Dover I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck!


DraftKings Driver Values: Dover I, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish to bottom of your Dover I DraftKings lineups, take a look at the Dinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Dover I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Dover I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win tomorrow’s Dover race. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Early Rankings: Dover I, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Dover I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover I driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Dover II, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth appears in 27 of my top 30 DraftKings lineups for Dover II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Dover II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Dover today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Dover II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Dover II, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers top DraftKings value at Dover tomorrow in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s race at Dover. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup (because qualifying was rained out). Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Dover II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win Dover II tomorrow in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice data from Dover on Friday and Saturday (qualifying was rained out), and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Martin Truex Jr.
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Dover II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Dover II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Watkins Glen, Sonoma and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Dover I, 2016

Denny Hamlin figures prominently in my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

Denny Hamlin figures prominently in my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Dover I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Dover I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Dover I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

Update: Gah, it looks like there’s a bug with the sales portal preventing sales of the PDF! Trying to work it out now.

DraftKings Driver Values: Dover I, 2016

Clint Bowyer photo

Clint Bowyer can help finish your Dover I DraftKings lineups today in the $6K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Dover. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s Practice 1 results (because qualifying was rained out). Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading