Tag Archives: Daytona

Final Rankings: Daytona I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. remains my pick to win today in my final Daytona 500 driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. So, to compile final rankings for today’s Daytona 500, I updated my early rankings with the loop data from Thursday’s duel races. The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Kasey Kahne
  10. Jamie McMurray Continue reading

Early Rankings: Daytona I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. tops my early Daytona 500 driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve now completed my final Daytona rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for the Daytona 500. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from Daytona yesterday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Paul Menard
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading

Early, EARLY Rankings: Daytona I, 2016

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. tops my early EARLY Daytona 500 driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early early early driver rankings for the upcoming Daytona 500. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races and the qualifying data from past two races at Talladega (qualifying was rained out at both Daytona races last year). I think these two metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front, all of which should give me the best chance to get in the ballpark with race-result predictions.

Note: These rankings are rough, not least of which because I’m not even sure yet what the final entry list will look like. I’ll update the rankings as we work our way through Speedweeks.

OK, here they are:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Paul Menard
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Fantasy NASCAR Alert: No Ryan Blaney at Daytona II

I play Yahoo’s fantasy NASCAR game, and earlier this week I was stoked to see Ryan Blaney listed on the Daytona II entry list. I rate Blaney relatively high at the plate races (so far), so he would’ve made an excellent start saver in Group C.

Alas, rain washed out qualifying yesterday, and that bumped Blaney out of the race because as a part-timer, he lacks owner points and race attempts. Which is how NASCAR sets the field when rain washes out qualifying.

Bottom line: If you’ve tabbed Blaney this week in your fantasy game(s), make sure you swap him out before the green flag waves.

Final Rankings: Daytona II, 2015

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. remains on top in my final Daytona II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And yesterday, unfortunately, rain wiped out qualifying, depriving us of those speed chart numbers, too. My final Daytona II rankings therefore look very similar to my early Daytona II rankings. I did tweak a couple drivers’ rankings after reviewing some sportsbook betting odds, and of course I pared the list down to the 43 drivers who made the race.

The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Kasey Kahne
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Early Rankings: Daytona II, 2015

Dale Earnhardt Jr. photo

Dale Jr. tops my early Daytona II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Daytona. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races, the qualifying data from the 2014 Daytona 500 and the spring Talladega race (because those are the most recent plate races in which qualifying didn’t involve drafting), and the loop data for this year’s Daytona Duels. Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Kasey Kahne
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Paul Menard Continue reading

Final Rankings: Daytona I, 2015

Jimmie Johnson tops my Daytona 500 rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jimmie Johnson tops my Daytona 500 rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And now, unfortunately, they draft during qualifying, too, so the Daytona 500 qualifying speed chart numbers are out the window as well.

Fortunately, Thursday’s Budweiser Duel 150 races gave us fresh loop data to work with. I crunched that data and used it to update my early Daytona 500 rankings. The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Dale Earnhardt. Jr.
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Greg Biffle
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Jeff Gordon
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Martin Truex. Jr.
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Daytona I, 2015

gregbiffle

Greg Biffle tops my early Daytona 500 rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s race at Daytona. I compiled them by crunching the loop data for the past four plate races, and taking a brief look at the qualifying data from last year’s Daytona 500 (because it was the last time Sprint Cup ran single-car qualifying on the plate tracks). I think these two metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front, all of which should give me the best chance to get in the ballpark with race-result predictions.

Finally, I took a look at the Sprint Unlimited race data and tweaked the rankings accordingly. My results:

  1. Greg Biffle
  2. Denny Hamlin
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Dale Earnhardt. Jr.
  7. Kasey Kahne
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Austin Dillon
  11. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Daytona II, 2014

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And now, unfortunately, they draft during qualifying, too, so the qualifying speed chart numbers are out the window as well.

The point? I have little new information to use to update my early Daytona rankings. I did cruise around online today to get a feel for other handicappers’ rankings and thoughts following practice and qualifying, and I then made some tweaks to my rankings. The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Greg Biffle
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Paul Menard Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Daytona II, 2014

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s race at Daytona. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data for the past three races at Daytona and the 2013 spring race at Talladega. I also crunched the loop data for the past four plate races. I think these two metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front, all of which should give me the best chance to get in the ballpark with race-result predictions.

My results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Greg Biffle
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading