Tag Archives: Bristol

Final Rankings: Bristol II, 2016

Carl Edwards photo

Carl Edwards took over the top spot in my final Bristol II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Carl Edwards
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Bristol II driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Martin Truex Jr.
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Bristol I, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

My lineup optimizer included KyBu in 14 of its 20 top DraftKings lineups for Bristol I today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 20 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s race at Bristol. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Bristol I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 20 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol I, 2016

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson looks like a must-have guy in the $7K range tomorrow at Bristol (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s race at Bristol. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win tomorrow at Bristol. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve completed my final Bristol I driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol II, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Bristol II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Kyle Larson
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Bristol II, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Martin Truex Jr.
  10. Jeff Gordon Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol I, 2015

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Bristol rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Bristol rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kasey Kahne
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Jeff Gordon
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Carl Edwards
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol I, 2015

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Kasey Kahne
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading