Tag Archives: Bristol

DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol II, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings lineups for Bristol tonight, take a look at AJ Allmendinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Bristol II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win at Bristol tonight in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Erik Jones
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Bristol II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Bristol II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Erik Jones
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Bristol I, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch appears in every one of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Bristol I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for the Bristol I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for the race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Bristol I. Then I ran those points projections through a knapsack-problem optimizer algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for the race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Bristol I 2017 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck!

DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol I, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings lineups for Bristol tomorrow, take a look at AJ Allmendinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Bristol I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol I, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch remains my pick to win Bristol I in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s NASCAR Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice data from Bristol on Friday and Saturday (qualifying was rained out), and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Chase Elliott
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Kyle Larson
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Erik Jones Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol I, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch tops my early Bristol I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Fantasy NASCAR Alert: No Annett at Bristol Tonight

Michael Annett photo

Michael Annett will not drive tonight at Bristol. (photo courtesy nascar)

Due to illness, Michael Annett will not drive the 46 car tonight at Bristol. Justin Allgaier will take his place. Annett will therefore earn zero DraftKings points tonight per DraftKings’ Position Eligibility rules:

“Driver eligibility determinations and decisions around driver inclusion into the player pool are at the sole discretion of DraftKings. If a driver withdraws, gets substituted out before the race, or does not end up participating in the race for any reason, that driver will receive zero fantasy points.”

DraftKings Lineups: Bristol II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick appears in every one of my top 30 DraftKings lineups for Bristol II tonight. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s Bristol II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Saturday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Bristol tonight. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Bristol II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck tonight!

DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol II, 2016

Kasey Kahne photo

Kasey Kahne offers good DraftKings value at Bristol II tonight in the $7K tier . (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Bristol II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading