Tag Archives: Bristol

Fantasy NASCAR Alert: No Annett at Bristol Tonight

Michael Annett photo

Michael Annett will not drive tonight at Bristol. (photo courtesy nascar)

Due to illness, Michael Annett will not drive the 46 car tonight at Bristol. Justin Allgaier will take his place. Annett will therefore earn zero DraftKings points tonight per DraftKings’ Position Eligibility rules:

“Driver eligibility determinations and decisions around driver inclusion into the player pool are at the sole discretion of DraftKings. If a driver withdraws, gets substituted out before the race, or does not end up participating in the race for any reason, that driver will receive zero fantasy points.”

DraftKings Lineups: Bristol II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick appears in every one of my top 30 DraftKings lineups for Bristol II tonight. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s Bristol II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Saturday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Bristol tonight. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Bristol II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck tonight!

DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol II, 2016

Kasey Kahne photo

Kasey Kahne offers good DraftKings value at Bristol II tonight in the $7K tier . (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Bristol II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol II, 2016

Carl Edwards photo

Carl Edwards took over the top spot in my final Bristol II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Carl Edwards
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Bristol II driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Martin Truex Jr.
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Bristol I, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

My lineup optimizer included KyBu in 14 of its 20 top DraftKings lineups for Bristol I today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 20 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s race at Bristol. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Bristol I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 20 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol I, 2016

kyle larson photo

Kyle Larson looks like a must-have guy in the $7K range tomorrow at Bristol (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s race at Bristol. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win tomorrow at Bristol. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Bristol I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve completed my final Bristol I driver rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past five races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past five races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol II, 2015

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains on top in my final Bristol II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Kyle Larson
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading