DraftKings Driver Values: Chicagoland, 2017

aric almirola photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings’ lineups today, take a look at Aric Almirola in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Chicagoland race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Chicagoland, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win Chicagoland today in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Chicagoland. I compiled them by crunching the practice data from Chicagoland on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Kyle Larson
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Chase Elliott
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Early Rankings: Chicagoland, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Chicagoland driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Chicagoland driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Chicagoland. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Chicagoland;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Michigan, Kentucky, Fontana, Charlotte, Texas, Atlanta and Kansas);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Chicagoland; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading