Author Archives: Jed Henson

DraftKings Driver Values: New Hampshire II, 2017

Daniel Suarez photo

Daniel Suarez offers good value in DraftKings’ 7K tier at New Hampshire today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s New Hampshire II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: New Hampshire II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains on top in my final New Hampshire II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at New Hampshire. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from New Hampshire Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Ryan Blaney
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Early Rankings: New Hampshire II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early New Hampshire II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final New Hampshire II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at New Hampshire. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at New Hampshire;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Pocono and Richmond);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at New Hampshire; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Denny Hamlin
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Joey Logano Continue reading