DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr.’s last place qualifying result really cranked up his DraftKings value for tomorrow’s Phoenix II race. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Phoenix II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table:

Drivers DraftKings Price Predicted Points Price/Point
Martin Truex Jr $9,800 103.85 $94.37
Kevin Harvick $10,600 84.86 $124.92
Kyle Busch $10,400 73.72 $141.08
Matt Kenseth $9,300 60.66 $153.31
Joey Logano $10,200 62.99 $161.93
Brad Keselowski $9,500 55.04 $172.59
Kyle Larson $8,900 48.49 $183.54
Jimmie Johnson $9,700 49.98 $194.08
Kurt Busch $8,400 40.35 $208.17
Chase Elliott $8,700 40.82 $213.14
Carl Edwards $9,100 41.46 $219.47
Tony Stewart $7,500 33.29 $225.26
Jamie McMurray $7,900 33.65 $234.75
Denny Hamlin $9,900 40.12 $246.75
Kasey Kahne $8,000 29.68 $269.54
Paul Menard $6,600 24.03 $274.71
Ryan Newman $7,800 27.95 $279.10
Alex Bowman $6,900 23.52 $293.34
Greg Biffle $7,000 23.47 $298.23
Aric Almirola $6,700 22.24 $301.22
AJ Allmendinger $7,400 24.26 $305.03
Austin Dillon $8,200 26.78 $306.22
Ricky Stenhouse Jr $7,300 22.78 $320.41
Clint Bowyer $7,100 20.85 $340.51
David Ragan $5,300 13.73 $386.15
Casey Mears $5,900 15.14 $389.63
Michael McDowell $6,100 14.88 $409.91
Ryan Blaney $7,700 18.57 $414.67
D.J. Kennington $4,800 11.18 $429.43
Chris Buescher $6,400 14.81 $432.10
Danica Patrick $6,200 13.36 $463.92
Trevor Bayne $6,800 14.12 $481.61
Regan Smith $5,500 9.28 $592.93
Brian Scott $5,800 9.24 $627.49
Reed Sorenson $4,500 6.14 $732.32
Michael Annett $4,900 6.16 $795.29
Matt DiBenedetto $5,100 6.23 $819.04
Landon Cassill $5,700 6.24 $913.00
Jeffrey Earnhardt $4,600 1.10 $4,188.34
Gray Gaulding $4,700 1.07 $4,410.97

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