DraftKings Driver Values: Texas II, 2016

ryan blaney photo

Ryan Blaney looks good in DraftKings’ $7K tier tomorrow at Texas. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I deleted Matt DiBenedetto from the below table Sunday morning because he’s out due to a concussion. Jeffrey Earnhardt will replace him, but Earnhardt is not available in DraftKings today, so I didn’t add him to the list.

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Texas II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table:

Drivers DraftKings Price Predicted Points Price/Point
Martin Truex Jr $10,700 93.24 $114.75
Jimmie Johnson $10,800 79.47 $135.90
Carl Edwards $8,900 65.04 $136.84
Joey Logano $9,400 67.53 $139.20
Chase Elliott $9,200 62.84 $146.41
Kyle Busch $10,200 62.51 $163.18
Kasey Kahne $8,400 48.01 $174.96
Ryan Blaney $7,500 41.61 $180.24
Ryan Newman $7,800 43.12 $180.88
Brad Keselowski $9,600 45.82 $209.51
Kevin Harvick $10,900 50.51 $215.79
Matt Kenseth $9,800 42.76 $229.16
Denny Hamlin $8,800 37.19 $236.65
Kyle Larson $9,100 36.06 $252.36
Greg Biffle $7,000 26.91 $260.14
Kurt Busch $8,600 32.98 $260.75
Austin Dillon $7,900 29.94 $263.86
Tony Stewart $7,700 27.17 $283.42
Trevor Bayne $6,700 23.46 $285.58
Jamie McMurray $8,100 28.15 $287.70
Alex Bowman $7,400 24.46 $302.58
Chris Buescher $6,200 16.91 $366.62
AJ Allmendinger $7,600 20.42 $372.20
Ricky Stenhouse Jr $7,300 19.58 $372.92
Paul Menard $6,600 16.75 $394.03
Danica Patrick $6,400 15.22 $420.41
Regan Smith $5,300 12.30 $431.06
Michael McDowell $5,600 12.87 $435.17
Clint Bowyer $7,100 15.94 $445.32
Landon Cassill $5,500 12.26 $448.60
David Ragan $5,900 12.26 $481.23
Brian Scott $5,800 11.78 $492.52
Michael Annett $4,800 9.19 $522.30
Aric Almirola $6,900 12.20 $565.65
Joey Gase $4,600 7.16 $642.90
Casey Mears $6,000 8.33 $720.25
Ryan Ellis $5,100 5.17 $985.96
Reed Sorenson $4,500 4.11 $1,096.17
Josh Wise $4,700 4.07 $1,154.75

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