DraftKings Lineups: Kansas I, 2016

Austin Dillon photo

For help in DraftKing’s $7K range tonight at Kansas look at Kyle Larson and Austin Dillon. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 15 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s race at Kansas. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Kansas I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 15 best lineups for today’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups:

# Driver 1 Driver 2 Driver 3 Driver 4 Driver 5 Driver 6 Total Predicted Pts
1 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Ryan Newman David Ragan 312.86
2 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Austin Dillon Brian Scott 312.35
3 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Ryan Newman Landon Cassill 311.79
4 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Austin Dillon Ryan Newman Brian Scott 310.01
5 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Aric Almirola 309.8
6 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Kevin Harvick Kyle Larson Ryan Newman Brian Scott 309.33
7 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Ryan Newman Brian Scott 308.9
8 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Austin Dillon Michael Annett 308.77
9 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Jamie McMurray Brian Scott 308.66
10 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Austin Dillon Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Casey Mears 307.94
11 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Ryan Newman Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Aric Almirola 307.47
12 Martin Truex Jr. Joey Logano Kevin Harvick Kyle Larson Ryan Newman Brian Scott 306.89
13 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kyle Larson Ricky Stenhouse Jr. Casey Mears 306.83
14 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Kevin Harvick Brian Scott Reed Sorenson 306.53
15 Martin Truex Jr. Carl Edwards Joey Logano Austin Dillon Ryan Newman Michael Annett 306.43

3 thoughts on “DraftKings Lineups: Kansas I, 2016

  1. KARL

    OF THE ABOVE LINEUPS; WHICH WOULD YOU CONSIDER THE “SAFEST” FOR HEAD TO HEAD DK PLAY?

  2. Chris

    I’ve been on your site several times in the past few weeks. Good work. I’m anxious to see your Dover results.

    Chris

  3. Jed Henson Post author

    Karl: Sorry I missed your question Saturday. I will say I’m not actually sure I could point to safe/non-safe lineups. I guess we’d have to study catastrophe rates (e.g., crashes, penalties, mechanical failures, etc.) and pray we’d have statistical significance?

    Chris: Thanks! I hope to have my early Dover rankings up by late Tuesday morning ET. Diving into the spreadsheet work now.

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