DraftKings Driver Values: Fontana, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

At $8,800, Martin Truex Jr. is a must-have today on DraftKings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Fontana. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

More reading: Yesterday, using the below points projections, I posted optimized DraftKings lineups for Fontana.

The table:

Drivers DraftKings Price Predicted Points Price/Point
Kyle Busch $10,300 72.70 $141.67
Martin Truex Jr $8,800 58.29 $150.97
Jimmie Johnson $10,400 67.00 $155.23
Carl Edwards $9,100 56.46 $161.19
Matt Kenseth $9,900 57.08 $173.45
Kurt Busch $9,500 53.42 $177.82
Kevin Harvick $10,500 57.29 $183.29
Joey Logano $10,000 53.68 $186.29
Brad Keselowski $9,200 49.29 $186.64
Dale Earnhardt Jr $9,600 49.26 $194.86
Ryan Blaney $6,600 31.70 $208.18
Austin Dillon $6,700 30.76 $217.85
Kyle Larson $8,200 37.45 $218.97
Ryan Newman $7,300 29.35 $248.69
Ricky Stenhouse Jr $6,500 25.47 $255.20
Denny Hamlin $8,900 34.85 $255.40
Brian Vickers $5,400 20.87 $258.69
Greg Biffle $6,600 25.30 $260.89
Aric Almirola $6,800 23.94 $284.00
Paul Menard $6,500 22.65 $287.02
David Ragan $5,800 19.52 $297.13
Chase Elliott $8,600 28.18 $305.17
Kasey Kahne $8,300 27.00 $307.40
Clint Bowyer $7,000 21.73 $322.10
Jamie McMurray $7,400 21.89 $338.07
Danica Patrick $6,200 17.55 $353.37
Casey Mears $6,300 17.80 $354.00
Landon Cassill $5,500 12.16 $452.46
Michael Annett $5,600 12.15 $461.08
Cole Whitt $5,800 12.16 $477.14
AJ Allmendinger $6,400 12.14 $527.05
Brian Scott $5,500 9.56 $575.02
Regan Smith $5,600 8.18 $684.86
Jeffrey Earnhardt $5,400 5.06 $1,066.56
Josh Wise $5,600 5.09 $1,099.57
Matt DiBenedetto $5,700 3.10 $1,836.71
Michael McDowell $6,000 2.11 $2,838.38
Chris Buescher $5,700 -1.54 n/a
Trevor Bayne $6,100 -2.28 n/a

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