DraftKings Driver Values: Talladega II, 2015

Martin Truex Jr photo

Assuming DraftKings agrees Martin Truex Jr. is indeed starting 43rd today, he offers excellent value. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Talladega. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

My points projection model is a work in progress, so don’t take the below info as gospel. Still, I think it can provide big-picture help when crafting DraftKings lineups.

Note: The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns:

Drivers DraftKings Price Predicted Points Price/Point
Dale Earnhardt Jr $11,200 70.40 $159.09
Martin Truex Jr $8,400 52.55 $159.85
Paul Menard $7,900 46.92 $168.39
Sam Hornish Jr $6,300 35.82 $175.88
Jimmie Johnson $10,100 57.37 $176.05
Austin Dillon $8,000 43.48 $183.99
Denny Hamlin $9,000 48.73 $184.69
Jeff Gordon $9,600 51.65 $185.87
Kevin Harvick $9,700 51.04 $190.05
Kasey Kahne $9,500 49.28 $192.78
Brad Keselowski $9,200 47.65 $193.06
Kurt Busch $8,700 43.41 $200.41
Ryan Blaney $5,800 28.93 $200.49
Kyle Busch $8,800 43.10 $204.18
Clint Bowyer $7,600 32.22 $235.87
Carl Edwards $8,900 37.01 $240.48
Joey Logano $9,100 35.03 $259.76
Landon Cassill $5,600 21.17 $264.57
Matt Kenseth $9,900 35.50 $278.90
David Gilliland $5,700 20.44 $278.91
Casey Mears $6,600 22.75 $290.12
Greg Biffle $7,300 24.36 $299.65
Kyle Larson $7,400 24.07 $307.38
Travis Kvapil $5,300 16.14 $328.44
Justin Allgaier $5,700 17.15 $332.43
Tony Stewart $6,900 19.38 $355.99
Trevor Bayne $6,500 17.78 $365.67
Ricky Stenhouse Jr $6,000 15.89 $377.68
Jamie McMurray $8,100 20.82 $389.01
AJ Allmendinger $6,700 15.49 $432.57
Danica Patrick $6,200 12.69 $488.63
Aric Almirola $7,500 13.53 $554.28
Michael Waltrip $5,400 9.15 $590.39
David Ragan $7,100 8.51 $834.03
Ryan Newman $7,700 8.67 $887.66
Cole Whitt $5,600 6.11 $916.97
Bobby Labonte $5,400 1.06 $5,098.07
Timmy Hill $5,300 0.09 $60,707.12
Matt DiBenedetto $5,400 0.04 $136,766.39
Josh Wise $5,800 0.02 $293,794.47
Michael McDowell $5,500 -2.90 n/a
Alex Bowman $5,500 -4.99 n/a
J.J. Yeley $5,400 -7.97 n/a

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