Final Rankings: Homestead, 2014

Jeff Gordon remains my pick to win today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon remains my pick to win today at Homestead. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Kyle Busch
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Carl Edwards
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Homestead, 2014

Jeff Gordon tops my early Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon tops my early Homestead rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Watkins Glen and Talladega;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Homestead;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Dover);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Homestead; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Carl Edwards
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

Final Rankings: Phoenix II, 2014

Kevin Harvick remains my favorite to win today at Phoenix. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick remains my favorite to win today at Phoenix. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Phoenix on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Jamie McMurray Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Phoenix II, 2014

Kevin Harvick tops my early Phoenix II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick tops my early Phoenix II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Phoenix;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Richmond, MartinsvilleIndyPocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Phoenix; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Jeff Gordon
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Ryan Newman
  10. Jamie McMurray Continue reading

Final Rankings: Texas II, 2014

Kevin Harvick took over the top spot in my final Texas II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Kevin Harvick took over the top spot in my final Texas II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Texas on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Jeff Gordon
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Ryan Newman
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Texas II, 2014

Jeff Gordon tops my early Texas II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon tops my early Texas II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Texas. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Sonoma, Watkins Glen and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Texas;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Charlotte, Atlanta, Kansas, Chicago, Michigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Texas; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Carl Edwards Continue reading

Final Rankings: Martinsville II, 2014

Jeff Gordon remains on top in my final Martinsville II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon remains on top in my final Martinsville II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Martinsville. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Martinsville on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Jamie McMurray
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading

Early Rankings: Martinsville II, 2014

Jeff Gordon tops my early Martinsville II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Jeff Gordon tops my early Martinsville II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Martinsville. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Sonoma, Watkins Glen and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Martinsville;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., RichmondPhoenixIndyPocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Martinsville; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Jeff Gordon
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Brad Keselowski
  4. Joey Logano
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  8. Clint Bowyer
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Jamie McMurray Continue reading

Final Rankings: Talladega II, 2014

Denny Hamlin remains my pick to win Talladega II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

Denny Hamlin remains my pick to win Talladega II today. (photo courtesy nascar)

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And now, unfortunately, they draft during qualifying, too, so the qualifying speed chart numbers are out the window as well.

The point? I have little new information to use to update my early Talladega rankings. I did cruise around online this morning to get a feel for other handicappers’ updated/final rankings, and I then made some tweaks to mine. The results:

  1. Denny Hamlin
  2. Greg Biffle
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Dale Earnhardt. Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Jeff Gordon
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Talladega II, 2014

Denny Hamlin tops my mid-week Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Denny Hamlin tops my mid-week Talladega II rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s race at Talladega. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data from this year’s Daytona 500 (because that’s the only plate race this year in which qualifying didn’t involve drafting), and the loop data for the past three plate races. Those metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front:

  1. Denny Hamlin
  2. Greg Biffle
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Dale Earnhardt. Jr.
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Jeff Gordon
  9. Austin Dillon
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading