Early Rankings: Pocono II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Pocono II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Pocono. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Pocono;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Richmond and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Pocono; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Martin Truex Jr.
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Indy, 2016

jimmie johnson photo

Jimmie Johnson appears in 27 of my top 30 DraftKings lineups for Indy today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s race at Indianapolis. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Saturday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Indy today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Indy 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Indy, 2016

Kasey Kahne photo

Kasey Kahne offers good DraftKings value at Indy today in the $7K tier . (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Indianapolis. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Indy, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

KyBu remains my pick to win today in my final Indy driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Indy. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Indianapolis Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Fantasy NASCAR Alert: Jeff Gordon Hits Group C

Don't miss out on Jeff Gordon running in Yahoo's Group C on Sunday at Indy. (photo courtesy nascar)

Don’t miss out on Jeff Gordon running in Yahoo’s Group C on Sunday at Indy. (photo courtesy nascar)

If you play Yahoo’s fantasy NASCAR game, you’ll like this: Jeff Gordon now appears in Group C and will apparently be available when he drives the 88 car at Indianapolis this week and Pocono next week. Grab him while you can!

Note: If you don’t see him listed, make sure you have “Show Only Entered Drivers” un-checked.

Thanks to PJ at Fantasy NASCAR Preview for the tip.

Mid-Week Rankings: Indy, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

KyBu tops my early Indy driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Indy driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Indianapolis. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Indy;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, New Hampshire, Pocono and Richmond);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Indy; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Matt Kenseth
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: New Hampshire I, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth appears in each one of my top 30 DraftKings lineups for New Hampshire I tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s New Hampshire I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at New Hampshire tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tonight’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: New Hampshire I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck tonight!

DraftKings Driver Values: New Hampshire I, 2016

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman offers good value tomorrow in DraftKing’s $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s New Hampshire I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: New Hampshire I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win tomorrow in my final New Hampshire I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at New Hampshire. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from New Hampshire today and yesterday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Carl Edwards
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Kurt Busch
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

Early Rankings: New Hampshire I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early New Hampshire I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final New Hampshire I driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at New Hampshire. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at New Hampshire;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Pocono and Richmond);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at New Hampshire; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading