DraftKings Lineups: Homestead, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth appears in every one of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Homestead today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Homestead race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Homestead today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Homestead 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Homestead, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers nice DraftKings value at Homestead today in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Homestead. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Homestead, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. took over the top slot in my final Homestead driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Homestead on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Kyle Busch
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Homestead, 2016

Matt Kenseth photo

Matt Kenseth tops my early Homestead driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Homestead 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Homestead. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Watkins Glen and Talladega;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Homestead;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Dover);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Homestead; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Matt Kenseth
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Jimmie Johnson
  10. Chase Elliott Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Phoenix II, 2016

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch appears in 25 of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Phoenix II. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Phoenix II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Phoenix II today. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Phoenix II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Phoenix II, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr.’s last place qualifying result really cranked up his DraftKings value for tomorrow’s Phoenix II race. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Phoenix II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Phoenix II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win Phoenix II in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Phoenix on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Chase Elliott
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Early Rankings: Phoenix II, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Phoenix II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Phoenix II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Phoenix. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega, Sonoma and Watkins Glen);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Phoenix;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Richmond, MartinsvilleIndyPocono and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Phoenix; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Kyle Larson Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Texas II, 2016

Jimmie Johnson Shoots Pistols at Texas photo

Jimmie Johnson appears in only 14 of my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Texas II tomorrow. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tomorrow’s Texas II race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race and the starting lineup into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Texas II tomorrow. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which churned through all possible driver combinations to calculate the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $3. Here’s the link: Texas II 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Texas II, 2016

ryan blaney photo

Ryan Blaney looks good in DraftKings’ $7K tier tomorrow at Texas. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I deleted Matt DiBenedetto from the below table Sunday morning because he’s out due to a concussion. Jeffrey Earnhardt will replace him, but Earnhardt is not available in DraftKings today, so I didn’t add him to the list.

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Texas II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading