DraftKings Lineups: Sonoma, 2016

Greg Biffle photo

Greg Biffle appears in 29 of my 30 top DraftKings lineups for Sonoma today. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Sonoma race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Saturday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Sonoma. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Sonoma 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Sonoma, 2016

Jamie McMurray photo

Jamie McMurray offers top DraftKings value today at Sonoma. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Sonoma race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Saturday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2016

Carl Edwards photo

Carl Edwards took over the top spot in my final Sonoma driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Carl Edwards
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. AJ Allmendinger
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Brad Keselowski
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Early Rankings: Sonoma, 2016

jimmie johnson photo

Jimmie Johnson tops my early Sonoma driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Sonoma 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Watkins Glen;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Sonoma; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past four races at Watkins Glen.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Kurt Busch
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Carl Edwards
  6. Clint Bowyer
  7. Kevin Harvick
  8. AJ Allmendinger
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Michigan I, 2016

Paul Menard photo

Paul Menard offers good DraftKings value in the $6K range today at Michigan I (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Michigan I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Michigan I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Michigan I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Michigan I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick’s crappy qualifying effort raised his DraftKings value today at Michigan I. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Michigan I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan I, 2016

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. jumped into the top slot in my final Michigan I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Joey Logano
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Early Rankings: Michigan I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Michigan I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Michigan I 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for Sunday’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte and Kentucky;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Kurt Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Carl Edwards
  9. Kyle Busch
  10. Dale Earnhardt Jr. Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Pocono I, 2016

kurt busch photo

My algorithm included Kurt Busch and Kevin Harvick in each of its top 30 DraftKings lineups for Pocono I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Pocono I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Pocono I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tomorrow’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Pocono I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Pocono I, 2016

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman offers good value today in DraftKing’s $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s Pocono I race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading