Mid-Week Rankings: Pocono II, 2014

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Pocono. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Pocono;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Richmond and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Pocono; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Jeff Gordon
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Kasey Kahne
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Kurt Busch Continue reading

Final Rankings: Indy, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Indy. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Indianapolis Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Kasey Kahne
  9. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  10. Ryan Newman Continue reading

Early Rankings: Indy, 2014

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Indianapolis. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Indy;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, New Hampshire, Pocono and Richmond);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Indy; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Kasey Kahne
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading

Final Rankings: New Hampshire I, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at New Hampshire. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from New Hampshire on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Jimmie Johnson
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Kasey Kahne
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: New Hampshire I, 2014

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at New Hampshire. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Daytona and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races at New Hampshire;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., MartinsvillePhoenixIndyPocono and Richmond);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at New Hampshire; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Jeff Gordon
  4. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Kevin Harvick
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Final Rankings: Daytona II, 2014

The practice speed chart numbers have long held very little predictive value at the restrictor plate races because the cars draft during plate practices. And now, unfortunately, they draft during qualifying, too, so the qualifying speed chart numbers are out the window as well.

The point? I have little new information to use to update my early Daytona rankings. I did cruise around online today to get a feel for other handicappers’ rankings and thoughts following practice and qualifying, and I then made some tweaks to my rankings. The results:

  1. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  2. Matt Kenseth
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Brad Keselowski
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Greg Biffle
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Paul Menard Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Daytona II, 2014

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s race at Daytona. I compiled them by crunching the qualifying data for the past three races at Daytona and the 2013 spring race at Talladega. I also crunched the loop data for the past four plate races. I think these two metrics reflect speed, the ability to pass and the ability (and inclination) to run a lot of laps up front, all of which should give me the best chance to get in the ballpark with race-result predictions.

My results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Denny Hamlin
  7. Greg Biffle
  8. Paul Menard
  9. Jeff Gordon
  10. Kevin Harvick Continue reading

Final Rankings: Kentucky, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Kentucky on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Brad Keselowski
  2. Kevin Harvick
  3. Jimmie Johnson
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Clint Bowyer Continue reading

Mid-Week Rankings: Kentucky, 2014

Here are my mid-week driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Kentucky. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past three races at Kentucky;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte and Michigan;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past three races at Kentucky; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Jimmie Johnson
  2. Brad Keselowski
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Kyle Busch
  6. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Matt Kenseth
  9. Clint Bowyer
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Final Rankings: Sonoma, 2014

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Sonoma. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Sonoma on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Marcos Ambrose
  2. Clint Bowyer
  3. Kurt Busch
  4. Jeff Gordon
  5. Jimmie Johnson
  6. Carl Edwards
  7. Jamie McMurray
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Kevin Harvick
  10. A.J. Allmendinger Continue reading