DraftKings Lineups: Charlotte I, 2016

kurt busch photo

My algorithm included Kurt Busch and Joey Logano in each of its top 30 DraftKings lineups for Charlotte I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s Charlotte I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Thursday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Charlotte I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for tonight’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Charlotte I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

DraftKings Driver Values: Charlotte I, 2016

Ryan Newman photo

Ryan Newman offers good value today in DraftKing’s $7K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s race at Charlotte. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and Thursday’s qualifying results. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Charlotte I, 2016

joey logano photo

Joey Logano took over the top spot in my final Charlotte I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow night’s race at Charlotte. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Charlotte on Thursday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Joey Logano
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Kurt Busch
  5. Martin Truex, Jr.
  6. Jimmie Johnson
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Kyle Busch
  9. Denny Hamlin
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Early Rankings: Charlotte I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Charlotte I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Charlotte I 2016 driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Charlotte. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Charlotte;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., Fontana, Kansas, Atlanta, Texas, Chicagoland, Michigan and Kentuck);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Charlotte; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

Plus, I tweaked the results obtained with the above with data pulled from the All Star and Showdown races. The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Joey Logano
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Kyle Busch
  7. Martin Truex, Jr.
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Early Rankings: All Star Race, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early All Star Race driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup All Star and Sprint Showdown races at Charlotte. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races (excluding Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Charlotte;
  • the loop data for the past eight races at the other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasAtlantaTexasChicagoMichigan and Kentucky);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Charlotte; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

Note: This early list doesn’t include whoever gets into the All Star race via the fan vote.

The results for the All Star race:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Martin Truex Jr.
  4. Kyle Busch
  5. Matt Kenseth
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Kurt Busch
  8. Jimmie Johnson
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Dover I, 2016

Denny Hamlin figures prominently in my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

Denny Hamlin figures prominently in my top 30 optimized DraftKings lineups for Dover I. (photo courtesy nascar)

I’ve used my lineup optimizer to compile my top 30 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for today’s Dover I race. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for today’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Dover I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 30 best lineups for today’s race.

The lineups are sorted in descending order of total predicted points scored, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. I posted them in a PDF file you can download and view for $1. Here’s the link: Dover I 2016 DraftKings Lineups

Note: No guarantee comes with my lineups, rankings, predictions, etc. Use them at your own risk. To get a feel for how the lineups look, check out my Kansas I 2016 DraftKings lineups.

Good luck today!

Update: Gah, it looks like there’s a bug with the sales portal preventing sales of the PDF! Trying to work it out now.

DraftKings Driver Values: Dover I, 2016

Clint Bowyer photo

Clint Bowyer can help finish your Dover I DraftKings lineups today in the $6K range. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for today’s race at Dover. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score today, I plugged my driver rankings for today’s race into my projection model, and Friday’s Practice 1 results (because qualifying was rained out). Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers running tomorrow, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Dover I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick remains my pick to win Dover I today in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Dover on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Carl Edwards
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Joey Logano
  7. Jimmie Johnson
  8. Martin Truex Jr.
  9. Matt Kenseth
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

Early Rankings: Dover I, 2016

Kevin Harvick photo

Kevin Harvick tops my early Dover I driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Dover I driver rankings, which improve upon these early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Sprint Cup race at Dover. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Dover;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., BristolDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Dover; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Kevin Harvick
  2. Carl Edwards
  3. Kyle Busch
  4. Jimmie Johnson
  5. Joey Logano
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Kurt Busch
  10. Martin Truex Jr. Continue reading

DraftKings Lineups: Kansas I, 2016

Austin Dillon photo

For help in DraftKing’s $7K range tonight at Kansas look at Kyle Larson and Austin Dillon. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my top 15 DraftKings NASCAR driver lineups for tonight’s race at Kansas. To compile them, first I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race and Friday’s qualifying results into my driver points projection model to project how many DraftKings points each driver will score at Kansas I. Then I ran those points projections through an algorithm I created in Google Sheets with the OpenSolver add-on, which chewed through all possible driver combinations to spit out the 15 best lineups for today’s race.

The results are in descending order, and the total predicted points have been rounded to the nearest hundredth. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger-drag to see all the columns.

The lineups: Continue reading