DraftKings Driver Values: Bristol II, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings lineups for Bristol tonight, take a look at AJ Allmendinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tonight’s Bristol II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tonight, I plugged my final driver rankings for tonight’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings tonight, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Bristol II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win at Bristol tonight in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tonight’s race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Bristol on Friday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Erik Jones
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Kevin Harvick
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Kasey Kahne Continue reading

Early Rankings: Bristol II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Bristol II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Bristol II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Bristol. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Bristol;
  • the loop data for the past six races at the other tracks in the Steeps track group (i.e., DoverDarlingtonLas Vegas and Homestead);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Bristol; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past six races at the aforementioned Steeps.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kevin Harvick
  4. Denny Hamlin
  5. Kyle Larson
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Chase Elliott
  8. Erik Jones
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Brad Keselowski Continue reading

DraftKings Driver Values: Michigan II, 2017

AJ Allmendinger photo

To finish the bottom of your DraftKings lineups for Michigan II tomorrow, take a look at AJ Allmendinger in the $6K tier. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my DraftKings driver points and price/point predictions for tomorrow’s Michigan II race. To predict how many DraftKings points each driver will score tomorrow, I plugged my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race into my projection model, and the starting lineup. Then, to calculate each driver’s price/point, I simply divided each driver’s price by their predicted points.

The below table lists all drivers available on DraftKings today, and it’s sorted from lowest price/point to highest. If you’re on a small-screen device, scroll the table horizontally with a finger drag to see all the columns.

The table: Continue reading

Final Rankings: Michigan II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. remains my pick to win at Michigan II tomorrow in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for tomorrow’s race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Michigan on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Chase Elliott
  7. Denny Hamlin
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Ryan Blaney
  10. Matt Kenseth Continue reading

Early Rankings: Michigan II, 2017

Martin Truex Jr photo

Martin Truex Jr. tops my early Michigan II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Michigan II driver rankings, which improve upon the below early rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Michigan. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Cup races (excluding DaytonaTalladega, Watkins Glen and Sonoma;
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Michigan;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at other tracks in the Large Ovals track group (i.e., FontanaKansasTexasCharlotte, Atlanta, Chicagoland and Kentucky;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Michigan; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past eight races at the aforementioned Large Ovals.

The results:

  1. Martin Truex Jr.
  2. Kyle Busch
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Chase Elliott
  7. Matt Kenseth
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Brad Keselowski
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

Final Rankings: Watkins Glen, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch remains on top in my final Watkins Glen driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Watkins Glen. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Watkins Glen on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Brad Keselowski
  5. AJ Allmendinger
  6. Kurt Busch
  7. Kevin Harvick
  8. Jamie McMurray
  9. Joey Logano
  10. Denny Hamlin Continue reading

Early Rankings: Watkins Glen, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch tops my early Watkins Glen driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Watkins Glen. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona and Talladega);
  • the loop data for the past four races at Watkins Glen;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Sonoma;
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Watkins Glen; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past four races at Sonoma.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. AJ Allmendinger
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Kurt Busch
  6. Kyle Larson
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Dale Earnhardt Jr.
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading

Final Rankings: Pocono II, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch remains my pick to win Pocono II in my final driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Here are my final driver rankings for today’s race at Pocono. I compiled them by crunching the practice and qualifying data from Pocono on Friday and Saturday, and then melding it with the historical data:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Kevin Harvick
  5. Denny Hamlin
  6. Matt Kenseth
  7. Brad Keselowski
  8. Joey Logano
  9. Jamie McMurray
  10. Ryan Blaney Continue reading

Early Rankings: Pocono II, 2017

Kyle Busch photo

Kyle Busch tops my early Pocono II driver rankings. (photo courtesy nascar)

Update: I’ve posted my final Pocono II driver rankings, which improve upon the below rankings.

Here are my early driver rankings for this week’s NASCAR Cup race at Pocono. I compiled them by crunching:

  • The loop data for the past 15 Sprint Cup races (excluding Daytona, Talladega and Sonoma);
  • the loop data for the past four races;
  • the loop data for the past four races at Pocono;
  • the loop data for the past seven races at the other tracks in the Flats track group (i.e., Martinsville, Phoenix, Indy, Richmond and New Hampshire);
  • the practice and qualifying data for the past four races at Pocono; and
  • the practice and qualifying data for past seven races at the aforementioned Flats.

The results:

  1. Kyle Busch
  2. Martin Truex Jr.
  3. Kyle Larson
  4. Matt Kenseth
  5. Kevin Harvick
  6. Brad Keselowski
  7. Joey Logano
  8. Denny Hamlin
  9. Chase Elliott
  10. Jimmie Johnson Continue reading